Home run predictions for Friday include Aaron Judge, Jo Adell [9/19/2025]

Our MLB home run predictions for Friday, September 19, 2025, are here—with Aaron Judge topping the list based on the latest Dimers Pro simulation data.

Friday's HR projections come from our home run predictions, which simulate every MLB matchup 10,000 times to reveal the most likely home run hitters today.

Home run predictions for September 19, 2025

Our analysis shows Judge leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 25.3% chance to go deep, followed by Kyle Schwarber (22.6%) and Shohei Ohtani (22.4%).

Giancarlo Stanton and Jo Adell are among several other sluggers to crack the top 10. Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR prediction for Friday? Join Dimers Pro now.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.

Friday's home run picks [9/19/2025]

After running 10,000 simulations per matchup and evaluating key factors like weather and pitching matchups, Dimers Pro has identified one of the best MLB home run props today.

Jazz Chisholm Jr. (Yankees) to hit a home run

• Probability: 18.9%
• Odds: +700
• Edge: 6.4%
• Game: Yankees vs. Orioles (7:05PM ET)
• Pitching matchup: Trevor Rogers

Despite not cracking the top 10 in today's home run predictions, New York slugger Jazz Chisholm Jr. offers serious value at +700 with BetMGM, showing an edge of 6.4%—making him one of the strongest home run bets today.

In a matchup against Orioles starter Trevor Rogers, this combination of betting value and power potential makes Jr. one of the best home run picks today on Friday's slate.

For more expert MLB picks and data-backed MLB predictions, join Dimers Pro now. Pro users get full access to a total of 83 home run predictions today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.

MLB schedule for today [Friday, September 19, 2025]

• Athletics vs. Pirates (6:40PM ET, Friday)
• Braves vs. Tigers (6:40PM ET, Friday)
• Yankees vs. Orioles (7:05PM ET, Friday)
• Nationals vs. Mets (7:10PM ET, Friday)
• Red Sox vs. Rays (7:35PM ET, Friday)
• Blue Jays vs. Royals (7:40PM ET, Friday)
• Padres vs. White Sox (7:40PM ET, Friday)
• Marlins vs. Rangers (8:05PM ET, Friday)
• Guardians vs. Twins (8:10PM ET, Friday)
• Mariners vs. Astros (8:10PM ET, Friday)
• Brewers vs. Cardinals (8:15PM ET, Friday)
• Phillies vs. D-Backs (9:40PM ET, Friday)

Conclusion

For September 19, 2025, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Aaron Judge, Kyle Schwarber and Shohei Ohtani projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Jazz Chisholm Jr. who stands out as the best value bet, offering a favorable 6.4% edge at +700 odds.

These insights are based on 10,000 game simulations and are designed to help you identify smarter betting opportunities. As always, gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know needs support, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

For more coverage, check out today's MLB player props and MLB best bets. Plus, stay updated with the latest MLB news, MLB betting trends updated every 15 minutes, and World Series odds.

Note: This article may include affiliate links. Learn how we review products and services.