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Home run predictions for Wednesday include Aaron Judge, Shohei Ohtani [9/3/2025]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Get home run predictions today driven by expert analysis of Wednesday's MLB slate.

MLB Home Run Predictions Today.
Our home run predictions for September 3, 2025, are based on Wednesday's latest data and matchups.

Our MLB home run predictions for Wednesday, September 3, 2025, are here—with Aaron Judge topping the list based on the latest Dimers Pro simulation data.

Wednesday's HR projections pull from our full list of home run predictions, which highlight the most likely home run hitters today.

Home run predictions for September 3, 2025

Player (Team) HR Projection
Aaron Judge (Yankees) 23.3%
Kyle Schwarber (Phillies) 23.0%
Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers) 22.4%
Pete Alonso (Mets) 🔒
Juan Soto (Mets) 🔒
Giancarlo Stanton (Yankees) 🔒
Junior Caminero (Rays) 🔒
Cal Raleigh (Mariners) 🔒
Byron Buxton (Twins) 🔒
Shea Langeliers (Athletics) 🔒

Our analysis shows Judge leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 23.3% chance to go yard, followed by Kyle Schwarber (23.0%) and Shohei Ohtani (22.4%).

Pete Alonso and Juan Soto are among several other sluggers to crack the top 10. Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR prediction for Wednesday? Join Dimers Pro now.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.

Shohei Ohtani 2025.
Shohei Ohtani appears in today's home run predictions on Wednesday, September 3, 2025.

Wednesday's home run picks [9/3/2025]

After running 10,000 simulations per matchup and evaluating key variables like weather and pitching matchups, Dimers Pro has identified one of the best MLB home run props today.

Mark Vientos (Mets) to hit a home run

  • Probability: 17.1%
  • Odds: +600
  • Edge: 2.8%
  • Game: Mets vs. Tigers (1:10PM ET)
  • Pitching matchup: Casey Mize

Despite not cracking the top 10 in today's home run predictions, New York slugger Mark Vientos offers serious value at +600 with BetMGM, showing an edge of 2.8%—making him one of the strongest home run bets today.

In a matchup against Tigers starter Casey Mize, factoring in both projection edge and odds, Vientos has emerged as the one of the best home run picks today on Wednesday's slate.

 

For more expert MLB picks and data-backed MLB predictions, join Dimers Pro now. Pro users get full access to a total of 72 home run predictions today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.

MLB schedule for today [Wednesday, September 3, 2025]

Conclusion

For September 3, 2025, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Aaron Judge, Kyle Schwarber and Shohei Ohtani projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Mark Vientos who stands out as the best value bet, offering an appealing 2.8% edge at +600 odds.

These insights are based on 10,000 game simulations and are designed to help you identify smarter betting opportunities. As always, gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know needs support, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

For more coverage, check out today's MLB player props and MLB best bets. Plus, stay updated with the latest MLB news, MLB betting trends updated every 15 minutes, and World Series odds.

Note: This article may include affiliate links. Learn how we review products and services.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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