Home run predictions for Wednesday include Aaron Judge, Shohei Ohtani [8/20/2025]

Our MLB home run predictions for Wednesday, August 20, 2025, are here—with Aaron Judge topping the list according to the latest Dimers Pro simulation data.

Wednesday's HR projections come straight from our home run predictions, built to highlight the top slugging candidates today.

Home run predictions for August 20, 2025

Our analysis shows Judge leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 24.0% chance to go yard, followed by Shohei Ohtani (23.8%) and Kyle Schwarber (22.7%).

Junior Caminero and Cal Raleigh are among several other sluggers to rank inside the top 10. Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR probability for Wednesday? Join Dimers Pro now.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.

Wednesday's home run picks [8/20/2025]

After running 10,000 simulations per matchup and assessing key variables like weather and pitching matchups, Dimers Pro has identified one of the best MLB home run props today.

Brett Baty (Mets) to hit a home run

• Probability: 13.5%
• Odds: +800
• Edge: 2.4%
• Game: Mets vs. Nationals (6:45PM ET)
• Pitching matchup: Brad Lord

Despite not cracking the top 10 in today's home run predictions, New York slugger Brett Baty offers serious value at +800 with Bet365, showing an edge of 2.4%—making him one of the strongest home run bets today.

In a matchup against Nationals starter Brad Lord, factoring in both projection edge and odds, Baty has emerged as the one of the best home run picks today on Wednesday's slate.

For more expert MLB picks and data-driven MLB predictions, join Dimers Pro now. Pro users get full access to a total of 113 home run predictions today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.

MLB schedule for today [Wednesday, August 20, 2025]

• Blue Jays vs. Pirates (12:35PM ET, Wednesday)
• Mariners vs. Phillies (1:05PM ET, Wednesday)
• Astros vs. Tigers (1:10PM ET, Wednesday)
• Guardians vs. D-Backs (3:40PM ET, Wednesday)
• Cardinals vs. Marlins (6:40PM ET, Wednesday)
• Mets vs. Nationals (6:45PM ET, Wednesday)
• Yankees vs. Rays (7:35PM ET, Wednesday)
• Athletics vs. Twins (7:40PM ET, Wednesday)
• Rangers vs. Royals (7:40PM ET, Wednesday)
• Brewers vs. Cubs (8:05PM ET, Wednesday)
• Dodgers vs. Rockies (8:40PM ET, Wednesday)
• Reds vs. Angels (9:38PM ET, Wednesday)
• Giants vs. Padres (9:40PM ET, Wednesday)

Conclusion

For August 20, 2025, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Aaron Judge, Shohei Ohtani and Kyle Schwarber projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Brett Baty who stands out as the best value bet, offering an appealing 2.4% edge at +800 odds.

These insights are based on 10,000 game simulations and are designed to help you identify smarter betting opportunities. As always, gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know needs support, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

For more coverage, check out today's MLB player props and MLB best bets. Plus, stay updated with the latest MLB news, MLB betting trends updated every 15 minutes, and World Series odds.

Note: This article may include affiliate links. Learn how we review products and services.