Home run predictions for Dinger Tuesday include Aaron Judge, Kyle Schwarber [9/9/2025]

Our MLB home run predictions for Tuesday, September 9, 2025, are in—with Aaron Judge leading the list according to the latest Dimers Pro simulation data.

Tuesday's HR projections come from our home run predictions, built to highlight the top slugging candidates today.

Home run predictions for September 9, 2025

Player (Team)	HR Projection
Aaron Judge (Yankees)	23.7%
Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers)	23.0%
Kyle Schwarber (Phillies)	22.7%
Junior Caminero (Rays)	🔒
Giancarlo Stanton (Yankees)	🔒
Cal Raleigh (Mariners)	🔒
Jo Adell (Angels)	🔒
Pete Alonso (Mets)	🔒
Yordan Alvarez (Astros)	🔒
Shea Langeliers (Athletics)	🔒

Our analysis shows Judge leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 23.7% chance to go deep, followed by Shohei Ohtani (23.0%) and Kyle Schwarber (22.7%).

Junior Caminero and Giancarlo Stanton are among several other sluggers to rank inside the top 10. Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR probability for Tuesday? Join Dimers Pro now.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.

Tuesday's home run picks [9/9/2025]

After running 10,000 simulations per matchup and evaluating key variables like weather and pitching matchups, Dimers Pro has identified one of the best MLB home run props today.

Coby Mayo (Orioles) to hit a home run

• Probability: 13.3%
• Odds: +950
• Edge: 3.8%
• Game: Pirates vs. Orioles (6:35PM ET)
• Pitching matchup: Mike Burrows

Despite not cracking the top 10 in today's home run predictions, Baltimore slugger Coby Mayo offers serious value at +950 with BetMGM, showing an edge of 3.8%—making him one of the strongest home run bets today.

In a matchup against Pirates starter Mike Burrows, this combination of betting value and power potential makes Mayo one of the best home run picks today—and a smart play for Dinger Tuesday, a popular night for home run betting with a packed MLB schedule.

Originally popularized by sportsbook promos that reward bonus bets for each home run hit by a selected player, Dinger Tuesday has become a weekly home run frenzy—making projections like these even more valuable for bettors and fans alike.

For more expert MLB picks and data-led MLB predictions, join Dimers Pro now. Pro users get full access to a total of 67 home run predictions today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.

MLB schedule for today [Tuesday, September 9, 2025]

• Pirates vs. Orioles (6:35PM ET, Tuesday)
• Royals vs. Guardians (6:40PM ET, Tuesday)
• Nationals vs. Marlins (6:40PM ET, Tuesday)
• Mets vs. Phillies (6:45PM ET, Tuesday)
• Tigers vs. Yankees (7:05PM ET, Tuesday)
• Astros vs. Blue Jays (7:07PM ET, Tuesday)
• Cubs vs. Braves (7:15PM ET, Tuesday)
• Rays vs. White Sox (7:40PM ET, Tuesday)
• Brewers vs. Rangers (8:05PM ET, Tuesday)
• Twins vs. Angels (9:38PM ET, Tuesday)
• Cardinals vs. Mariners (9:40PM ET, Tuesday)
• Reds vs. Padres (9:40PM ET, Tuesday)
• Red Sox vs. Athletics (10:05PM ET, Tuesday)

Bet365 bonus code "DIMERS" — perfect for home run betting

To make the most of our dinger picks, headlined by the strong betting edge on Coby Mayo, check out the latest Bet365 bonus code of "DIMERS" that scores you $200 in bonus bets from a $5 bet – win or lose.

Conclusion

For September 9, 2025, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Aaron Judge, Shohei Ohtani and Kyle Schwarber projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Coby Mayo who stands out as the best value bet, offering a favorable 3.8% edge at +950 odds.

These insights are based on 10,000 game simulations and are designed to help you identify smarter betting opportunities. As always, gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know needs support, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

For more coverage, check out today's MLB player props and MLB best bets. Plus, stay updated with the latest MLB news, MLB betting trends updated every 15 minutes, and World Series odds.

Note: This article may include affiliate links. Learn how we review products and services.