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Home run predictions for Sunday include Aaron Judge, Giancarlo Stanton [9/7/2025]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Get home run predictions today driven by expert analysis of Sunday's MLB slate.

MLB Home Run Predictions Today.
Our home run predictions for September 7, 2025, are based on Sunday's latest data and matchups.

Our MLB home run predictions for Sunday, September 7, 2025, are here—with Aaron Judge leading the list based on the latest Dimers Pro simulation data.

Sunday's HR projections pull from our proprietary home run predictions, which highlight the top home run picks today.

Home run predictions for September 7, 2025

Player (Team) HR Projection
Aaron Judge (Yankees) 24.4%
Junior Caminero (Rays) 22.3%
Giancarlo Stanton (Yankees) 22.3%
Cal Raleigh (Mariners) 🔒
Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers) 🔒
Pete Alonso (Mets) 🔒
Nick Kurtz (Athletics) 🔒
Yordan Alvarez (Astros) 🔒
Jo Adell (Angels) 🔒
Juan Soto (Mets) 🔒

Our analysis shows Judge leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 24.4% chance to go yard, followed by Junior Caminero (22.3%) and Giancarlo Stanton (22.3%).

Cal Raleigh and Shohei Ohtani are among several other sluggers to crack the top 10. Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR prediction for Sunday? Join Dimers Pro now.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.

Aaron Judge 2025.
Aaron Judge features in today's home run predictions on Sunday, September 7, 2025.

Sunday's home run picks [9/7/2025]

After running 10,000 simulations per matchup and assessing key factors like weather and pitching matchups, Dimers Pro has identified one of the best MLB home run props today.

Jac Caglianone (Royals) to hit a home run

  • Probability: 14.5%
  • Odds: +775
  • Edge: 3.1%
  • Game: Twins vs. Royals (2:10PM ET)
  • Pitching matchup: Bailey Ober

Despite not cracking the top 10 in today's home run predictions, Kansas City slugger Jac Caglianone offers serious value at +775 with BetMGM, showing an edge of 3.1%—making him one of the strongest home run bets today.

In a matchup against Twins starter Bailey Ober, factoring in both projection edge and odds, Caglianone has emerged as the one of the best home run picks today on Sunday's slate.

 

For more expert MLB picks and data-driven MLB predictions, join Dimers Pro now. Pro users get full access to a total of 94 home run predictions today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.

MLB schedule for today [Sunday, September 7, 2025]

Conclusion

For September 7, 2025, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Aaron Judge, Junior Caminero and Giancarlo Stanton projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Jac Caglianone who stands out as the best value bet, offering a favorable 3.1% edge at +775 odds.

These insights are based on 10,000 game simulations and are designed to help you identify smarter betting opportunities. As always, gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know needs support, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

For more coverage, check out today's MLB player props and MLB best bets. Plus, stay updated with the latest MLB news, MLB betting trends updated every 15 minutes, and World Series odds.

Note: This article may include affiliate links. Learn how we review products and services.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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