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Home run predictions for Sunday include Aaron Judge, Kyle Schwarber [8/31/2025]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Get home run predictions today driven by expert analysis of Sunday's MLB slate.

MLB Home Run Predictions Today.
Our home run predictions for August 31, 2025, are based on Sunday's latest data and matchups.

Our MLB home run predictions for Sunday, August 31, 2025, are here—with Aaron Judge leading the list according to the latest Dimers Pro simulation data.

Sunday's HR projections come from our home run predictions, built to highlight the top slugging candidates today.

Home run predictions for August 31, 2025

Player (Team) HR Projection
Aaron Judge (Yankees) 24.6%
Kyle Schwarber (Phillies) 23.4%
Giancarlo Stanton (Yankees) 22.8%
Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers) 🔒
Junior Caminero (Rays) 🔒
Cal Raleigh (Mariners) 🔒
Pete Alonso (Mets) 🔒
Yordan Alvarez (Astros) 🔒
Juan Soto (Mets) 🔒
Shea Langeliers (Athletics) 🔒

Our analysis shows Judge leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 24.6% chance to go yard, followed by Kyle Schwarber (23.4%) and Giancarlo Stanton (22.8%).

Shohei Ohtani and Junior Caminero are among several other sluggers to crack the top 10. Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR prediction for Sunday? Join Dimers Pro now.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.

Kyle Schwarber 2025.
Kyle Schwarber features in our home run predictions on Sunday, August 31, 2025.

Sunday's home run picks [8/31/2025]

After running 10,000 simulations per matchup and evaluating key factors like weather and pitching matchups, Dimers Pro has identified one of the best MLB home run props today.

Vinnie Pasquantino (Royals) to hit a home run

  • Probability: 15.5%
  • Odds: +1000
  • Edge: 6.4%
  • Game: Tigers vs. Royals (2:10PM ET)
  • Pitching matchup: Tarik Skubal

Despite not cracking the top 10 in today's home run predictions, Kansas City slugger Vinnie Pasquantino offers standout value at +1000 with BetMGM, showing an edge of 6.4%—making him one of the strongest home run bets today.

In a matchup against Tigers starter Tarik Skubal, Pasquantino shapes up as one of the best home run picks today on Sunday's slate.

 

For more expert MLB picks and data-led MLB predictions, join Dimers Pro now. Pro users get full access to a total of 106 home run predictions today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.

MLB schedule for today [Sunday, August 31, 2025]

Conclusion

For August 31, 2025, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Aaron Judge, Kyle Schwarber and Giancarlo Stanton projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Vinnie Pasquantino who stands out as the best value bet, offering a favorable 6.4% edge at +1000 odds.

These insights are based on 10,000 game simulations and are designed to help you identify smarter betting opportunities. As always, gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know needs support, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

For more coverage, check out today's MLB player props and MLB best bets. Plus, stay updated with the latest MLB news, MLB betting trends updated every 15 minutes, and World Series odds.

Note: This article may include affiliate links. Learn how we review products and services.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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