Home run predictions for Monday include Aaron Judge, Shohei Ohtani [9/15/2025]

Our MLB home run predictions for Monday, September 15, 2025, are here—with Aaron Judge topping the list according to the latest Dimers Pro simulation data.

Monday's HR projections come straight from our home run predictions, which simulate every MLB matchup 10,000 times to reveal the top slugging candidates today.

Home run predictions for September 15, 2025

Our analysis shows Judge leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 22.9% chance to go yard, followed by Kyle Schwarber (22.4%) and Shohei Ohtani (22.1%).

Giancarlo Stanton and Byron Buxton are among several other sluggers to crack the top 10. Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR probability for Monday? Join Dimers Pro now.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.

Monday's home run picks [9/15/2025]

After running 10,000 simulations per matchup and assessing key factors like weather and pitching matchups, Dimers Pro has identified one of the best MLB home run props today.

TJ Friedl (Reds) to hit a home run

• Probability: 10.8%
• Odds: +1400
• Edge: 4.1%
• Game: Reds vs. Cardinals (7:45PM ET)
• Pitching matchup: Matthew Liberatore

Despite not cracking the top 10 in today's home run predictions, Cincinnati slugger TJ Friedl offers standout value at +1400 with Bet365, showing an edge of 4.1%—making him one of the strongest home run bets today.

With Matthew Liberatore on the mound for the Cardinals, Friedl shapes up as one of the best home run picks today on Monday's slate.

For more expert MLB picks and data-led MLB predictions, join Dimers Pro now. Pro users get full access to a total of 50 home run predictions today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.

MLB schedule for today [Monday, September 15, 2025]

• Cubs vs. Pirates (6:40PM ET, Monday)
• Braves vs. Nationals (6:45PM ET, Monday)
• Blue Jays vs. Rays (7:35PM ET, Monday)
• Yankees vs. Twins (7:40PM ET, Monday)
• Reds vs. Cardinals (7:45PM ET, Monday)
• Rangers vs. Astros (8:10PM ET, Monday)
• Giants vs. D-Backs (9:40PM ET, Monday)
• Phillies vs. Dodgers (10:10PM ET, Monday)

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To make the most of our dinger picks, headlined by the strong betting edge on TJ Friedl, check out the latest Bet365 bonus code of "DIMERS" that unlocks $200 in bonus bets from a $5 bet – win or lose.

Conclusion

For September 15, 2025, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Aaron Judge, Kyle Schwarber and Shohei Ohtani projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's TJ Friedl who stands out as the best value bet, offering an appealing 4.1% edge at +1400 odds.

These insights are based on 10,000 game simulations and are designed to help you identify smarter betting opportunities. As always, gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know needs support, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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