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Home run predictions for Monday include Kyle Schwarber, Pete Alonso [9/8/2025]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Get home run predictions today driven by expert analysis of Monday's MLB slate.

MLB Home Run Predictions Today.
Our home run predictions for September 8, 2025, are based on Monday's latest data and matchups.

Our MLB home run predictions for Monday, September 8, 2025, are here—with Kyle Schwarber leading the list based on the latest Dimers Pro simulation data.

Monday's HR projections pull from our proprietary home run predictions, built to highlight the top home run picks today.

Home run predictions for September 8, 2025

Player (Team) HR Projection
Kyle Schwarber (Phillies) 22.6%
Cal Raleigh (Mariners) 21.1%
Jo Adell (Angels) 20.0%
Pete Alonso (Mets) 🔒
Eugenio Suarez (Mariners) 🔒
Byron Buxton (Twins) 🔒
Juan Soto (Mets) 🔒
Shea Langeliers (Athletics) 🔒
Nick Kurtz (Athletics) 🔒
Mike Trout (Angels) 🔒

Our analysis shows Schwarber leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 22.6% chance to go deep, followed by Cal Raleigh (21.1%) and Jo Adell (20.0%).

Pete Alonso and Eugenio Suarez are among several other sluggers to rank inside the top 10. Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR probability for Monday? Join Dimers Pro now.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.

Cal Raleigh 2025.
Cal Raleigh features in today's home run predictions on Monday, September 8, 2025.

Monday's home run picks [9/8/2025]

After running 10,000 simulations per matchup and evaluating key factors like weather and pitching matchups, Dimers Pro has identified one of the best MLB home run props today.

Francisco Alvarez (Mets) to hit a home run

  • Probability: 16%
  • Odds: +675
  • Edge: 3.1%
  • Game: Mets vs. Phillies (6:45PM ET)
  • Pitching matchup: Aaron Nola

Despite not cracking the top 10 in today's home run predictions, New York slugger Francisco Alvarez offers serious value at +675 with BetMGM, showing an edge of 3.1%—making him one of the strongest home run bets today.

In a matchup against Phillies starter Aaron Nola, Alvarez shapes up as one of the best home run picks today on Monday's slate.

 

For more expert MLB picks and data-led MLB predictions, join Dimers Pro now. Pro users get full access to a total of 48 home run predictions today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.

MLB schedule for today [Monday, September 8, 2025]

Conclusion

For September 8, 2025, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Kyle Schwarber, Cal Raleigh and Jo Adell projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Francisco Alvarez who stands out as the best value bet, offering a favorable 3.1% edge at +675 odds.

These insights are based on 10,000 game simulations and are designed to help you identify smarter betting opportunities. As always, gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know needs support, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

For more coverage, check out today's MLB player props and MLB best bets. Plus, stay updated with the latest MLB news, MLB betting trends updated every 15 minutes, and World Series odds.

Note: This article may include affiliate links. Learn how we review products and services.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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