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Home run predictions for Monday include Aaron Judge, Shohei Ohtani [8/25/2025]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Get home run predictions today guided by expert analysis of Monday's MLB slate.

MLB Home Run Predictions Today.
Our home run predictions for August 25, 2025, are based on Monday's latest data and matchups.

Our MLB home run predictions for Monday, August 25, 2025, are here—with Aaron Judge leading the list according to the latest Dimers Pro simulation data.

Monday's HR projections pull from our proprietary home run predictions, which simulate every MLB matchup 10,000 times to reveal the most likely home run hitters today.

Home run predictions for August 25, 2025

Player (Team) HR Projection
Aaron Judge (Yankees) 25.7%
Kyle Schwarber (Phillies) 22.3%
Giancarlo Stanton (Yankees) 22.2%
Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers) 🔒
Cal Raleigh (Mariners) 🔒
Junior Caminero (Rays) 🔒
Pete Alonso (Mets) 🔒
Shea Langeliers (Athletics) 🔒
Kerry Carpenter (Tigers) 🔒
Juan Soto (Mets) 🔒

Our analysis shows Judge leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 25.7% chance to go deep, followed by Kyle Schwarber (22.3%) and Giancarlo Stanton (22.2%).

Shohei Ohtani and Cal Raleigh are among several other sluggers to crack the top 10. Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR prediction for Monday? Join Dimers Pro now.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.

Kyle Schwarber 2025.
Kyle Schwarber features in our home run predictions on Monday, August 25, 2025.

Monday's home run picks [8/25/2025]

After running 10,000 simulations per matchup and assessing key factors like weather and pitching matchups, Dimers Pro has identified one of the best MLB home run props today.

Juan Soto (Mets) to hit a home run

  • Probability: 18.7%
  • Odds: +625
  • Edge: 4.9%
  • Game: Phillies vs. Mets (7:10PM ET)
  • Pitching matchup: Cristopher Sánchez

Ranked as one of the top 10 in today's home run predictions, New York slugger Juan Soto offers serious value at +625 with BetMGM, showing an edge of 4.9%—making him one of the strongest home run bets today.

With Cristopher Sánchez on the mound for the Phillies, factoring in both projection edge and odds, Soto has emerged as the one of the best home run picks today on Monday's slate.

 

For more expert MLB picks and data-driven MLB predictions, join Dimers Pro now. Pro users get full access to a total of 85 home run predictions today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.

MLB schedule for today [Monday, August 25, 2025]

Conclusion

For August 25, 2025, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Aaron Judge, Kyle Schwarber and Giancarlo Stanton projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Juan Soto who stands out as the best value bet, offering an appealing 4.9% edge at +625 odds.

These insights are based on 10,000 game simulations and are designed to help you identify smarter betting opportunities. As always, gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know needs support, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

For more coverage, check out today's MLB player props and MLB best bets. Plus, stay updated with the latest MLB news, MLB betting trends updated every 15 minutes, and World Series odds.

Note: This article may include affiliate links. Learn how we review products and services.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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