Home run predictions for Friday include Aaron Judge, Kyle Schwarber [9/12/2025]

Our MLB home run predictions for Friday, September 12, 2025, are in—with Aaron Judge topping the list according to the latest Dimers Pro simulation data.

Friday's HR projections come from our home run predictions, which simulate every MLB matchup 10,000 times to reveal the top home run bets today.

Home run predictions for September 12, 2025

Our analysis shows Judge leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 23.4% chance to go deep, followed by Junior Caminero (22.5%) and Kyle Schwarber (22.4%).

Shohei Ohtani and Giancarlo Stanton are among several other sluggers to rank inside the top 10. Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR probability for Friday? Join Dimers Pro now.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.

Friday's home run picks [9/12/2025]

After running 10,000 simulations per matchup and assessing key variables like weather and pitching matchups, Dimers Pro has identified one of the best MLB home run props today.

Brandon Lowe (Rays) to hit a home run

• Probability: 17.8%
• Odds: +625
• Edge: 4.0%
• Game: Rays vs. Cubs (2:20PM ET)
• Pitching matchup: Matthew Boyd

Despite not cracking the top 10 in today's home run predictions, Tampa Bay slugger Brandon Lowe offers standout value at +625 with BetMGM, showing an edge of 4.0%—making him one of the strongest home run bets today.

With Matthew Boyd on the mound for the Cubs, factoring in both projection edge and odds, Lowe has emerged as the one of the best home run picks today on Friday's slate.

For more expert MLB picks and data-driven MLB predictions, join Dimers Pro now. Pro users get full access to a total of 97 home run predictions today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.

MLB schedule for today [Friday, September 12, 2025]

• Rays vs. Cubs (2:20PM ET, Friday)
• Pirates vs. Nationals (6:45PM ET, Friday)
• Royals vs. Phillies (6:45PM ET, Friday)
• Orioles vs. Blue Jays (7:07PM ET, Friday)
• Rangers vs. Mets (7:10PM ET, Friday)
• Tigers vs. Marlins (7:10PM ET, Friday)
• Yankees vs. Red Sox (7:10PM ET, Friday)
• White Sox vs. Guardians (7:10PM ET, Friday)
• Cardinals vs. Brewers (8:10PM ET, Friday)
• D-Backs vs. Twins (8:10PM ET, Friday)
• Reds vs. Athletics (10:05PM ET, Friday)
• Angels vs. Mariners (10:10PM ET, Friday)
• Dodgers vs. Giants (10:15PM ET, Friday)

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Conclusion

For September 12, 2025, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Aaron Judge, Junior Caminero and Kyle Schwarber projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Brandon Lowe who stands out as the best value bet, offering a favorable 4.0% edge at +625 odds.

These insights are based on 10,000 game simulations and are designed to help you identify smarter betting opportunities. As always, gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know needs support, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

For more coverage, check out today's MLB player props and MLB best bets. Plus, stay updated with the latest MLB news, MLB betting trends updated every 15 minutes, and World Series odds.

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