Home run predictions for Friday include Aaron Judge, Giancarlo Stanton [8/29/2025]

Our MLB home run predictions for Friday, August 29, 2025, are in—with Aaron Judge topping the list based on the latest Dimers Pro simulation data.

Friday's HR projections pull from our proprietary home run predictions, which simulate every MLB matchup 10,000 times to reveal the top home run bets today.

Home run predictions for August 29, 2025

Our analysis shows Judge leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 25.0% chance to go yard, followed by Kyle Schwarber (23.8%) and Shohei Ohtani (23.0%).

Giancarlo Stanton and Junior Caminero are among several other sluggers to crack the top 10. Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR prediction for Friday? Join Dimers Pro now.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.

Friday's home run picks [8/29/2025]

After running 10,000 simulations per matchup and assessing key variables like weather and pitching matchups, Dimers Pro has identified one of the best MLB home run props today.

Luis Matos (Giants) to hit a home run

• Probability: 11.6%
• Odds: +1100
• Edge: 3.3%
• Game: Orioles vs. Giants (10:15PM ET)
• Pitching matchup: Dean Kremer

Despite not cracking the top 10 in today's home run predictions, San Francisco slugger Luis Matos offers serious value at +1100 with DraftKings Sportsbook, showing an edge of 3.3%—making him one of the strongest home run bets today.

In a matchup against Orioles starter Dean Kremer, this combination of betting value and power potential makes Matos one of the best home run picks today on Friday's slate.

For more expert MLB picks and data-backed MLB predictions, join Dimers Pro now. Pro users get full access to a total of 93 home run predictions today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.

MLB schedule for today [Friday, August 29, 2025]

• Cardinals vs. Reds (6:40PM ET, Friday)
• Braves vs. Phillies (6:45PM ET, Friday)
• Rays vs. Nationals (6:45PM ET, Friday)
• Brewers vs. Blue Jays (7:07PM ET, Friday)
• Mariners vs. Guardians (7:10PM ET, Friday)
• Pirates vs. Red Sox (7:10PM ET, Friday)
• Marlins vs. Mets (7:10PM ET, Friday)
• Yankees vs. White Sox (7:40PM ET, Friday)
• Padres vs. Twins (8:10PM ET, Friday)
• Tigers vs. Royals (8:10PM ET, Friday)
• Rangers vs. Athletics (10:05PM ET, Friday)
• D-Backs vs. Dodgers (10:10PM ET, Friday)
• Orioles vs. Giants (10:15PM ET, Friday)

Bet365 bonus code "DIMERS" — perfect for home run betting

To make the most of our dinger picks, headlined by the strong betting edge on Luis Matos, check out the latest Bet365 bonus code of "DIMERS" that unlocks $200 in bonus bets from a $5 bet – win or lose.

Conclusion

For August 29, 2025, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Aaron Judge, Kyle Schwarber and Shohei Ohtani projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Luis Matos who stands out as the best value bet, offering a favorable 3.3% edge at +1100 odds.

These insights are based on 10,000 game simulations and are designed to help you identify smarter betting opportunities. As always, gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know needs support, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

For more coverage, check out today's MLB player props and MLB best bets. Plus, stay updated with the latest MLB news, MLB betting trends updated every 15 minutes, and World Series odds.

Note: This article may include affiliate links. Learn how we review products and services.