Free MLB picks today: Thursday's MLB best bets include Angels vs. Mariners play [9/11/2025]

Today’s free MLB picks for September 11, 2025 are here, with Thursday’s MLB best bets built on thousands of data simulations analyzing the latest odds and matchups.

These MLB best bets include matchups like Angels vs. Mariners and Rockies vs. Padres, with this article updated throughout the day to feature the highest-probability plays based on thousands of data-driven simulations from our predictive analytics model.

But if you're serious about long-term profit, it's not just about probability—it's about edge. To unlock our highest-edge MLB bets—the ones with true long-term value—join Dimers Pro.

Pro members get unlimited access to everything Dimers has to offer on Thursday, September 11, 2025, including our full set of picks and best bets for today and the week ahead.

List of MLB best bets tonight [9/11, updated 9:31PM ET]

After crunching the numbers and conducting thousands of simulations, our independent predictive analytics model has identified the best baseball bets for Thursday, September 11, 2025.

Angels vs. Mariners over 7.5 runs (-115)

• Probability: 55.6%
• Edge: 2.1%
• Matchup: Angels vs. Mariners (9:40PM ET, Thursday)

Our model has pinpointed a high-probability MLB betting opportunity tonight, which comes in the Angels vs. Mariners matchup. We recommend an over/under bet on over 7.5 runs at -115 odds, with our analysis showing a 55.6% chance of hitting and a compelling edge of 2.1%.

Rockies +1.5 (+109)

• Probability: 51.2%
• Edge: 3.3%
• Matchup: Rockies vs. Padres (9:40PM ET, Thursday)

Our model has found another strong MLB bet for Thursday's baseball action, this time in the matchup between the Rockies and Padres. We suggest placing a run line wager on Rockies +1.5 at +109 odds, with a 51.2% probability delivering a 3.3% edge.

MLB best bets: Thursday, 9/11/2025

As of 9:31PM ET, here are our top two MLB bets by probability recommended by our model:

Matchup	Bet	Odds	Probability	Edge
Angels vs. Mariners	Over 7.5 Runs	-115 @ BetMGM	55.6%	2.1%
Rockies vs. Padres	Rockies +1.5	+109 @ DraftKings	51.2%	3.3%

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Today, Dimers Pro subscribers have access to seven MLB picks—with access to all of these being what makes a difference over time.

Join Dimers Pro now to access these picks, as well as a comprehensive range of props, trends and parlays for September 11, 2025.

List of upcoming MLB games to bet on [9/11/2025]

• Rockies vs. Padres (9:40PM ET, Thursday)
• Angels vs. Mariners (9:40PM ET, Thursday)
• Rays vs. Cubs (2:20PM ET, Friday)
• Royals vs. Phillies (6:45PM ET, Friday)
• Orioles vs. Blue Jays (7:07PM ET, Friday)
• Rangers vs. Mets (7:10PM ET, Friday)
• Tigers vs. Marlins (7:10PM ET, Friday)
• Yankees vs. Red Sox (7:10PM ET, Friday)
• White Sox vs. Guardians (7:10PM ET, Friday)
• Cardinals vs. Brewers (8:10PM ET, Friday)
• D-Backs vs. Twins (8:10PM ET, Friday)

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More about MLB

The bets on this page form part of our MLB player props and MLB best bets series.

For more MLB betting content, we have MLB trends for every game, as well as daily MLB betting news and the latest World Series odds and predictions.

Conclusion

Our MLB best bets are locked and loaded for September 11, 2025, featuring plays such as over 7.5 runs in the Angels vs. Mariners matchup and Rockies +1.5. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

This article, enhanced by AI and automation, aims to deliver accurate MLB insights quickly, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.

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