Vikings vs. Steelers prediction: Why Minnesota is favored to win in NFL Week 4, 2025

The Pittsburgh Steelers will face the Minnesota Vikings in NFL Week 4 action at Croke Park on Sunday, starting at 9:30AM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven NFL model predicts the Vikings as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Vikings-Steelers game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Vikings with a win probability of 59%, while the Steelers have 41%."

This gameday Vikings vs. Steelers betting preview builds on my Vikings vs. Steelers prediction that was posted earlier in the week.

For a closer look at today’s game, including the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Vikings vs. Steelers predictions page.

Vikings vs. Steelers Predictions

Since our Vikings-Steelers predictions earlier in the week, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NFL matchup between the Vikings and Steelers 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Vikings a 59% chance of beating the Steelers in Week 4 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Vikings winning 21-19.

According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the Vikings and Steelers each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 41.5 points has a 53% chance of staying under.

Vikings vs. Steelers odds

We have researched the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Vikings	Steelers
Spread	-2.5 (-115)	+2.5 (+105)
Moneyline	-142	+125
Total	o41.5 (-105)	u41.5 (-115)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Vikings vs. Steelers picks and best bets

Our model's strongest edge in today's Vikings vs. Steelers matchup is on the over/under.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the current odds, reveal the best NFL picks and NFL best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Vikings vs. Steelers TD scorers

Who will score the first touchdown in Vikings vs. Steelers?

According to our model, Minnesota's Jordan Mason is most likely to score the first TD in Vikings vs. Steelers.

Our projections give Mason a 14.3% chance of getting in for six first at Croke Park, while the Vikings running back is a 51.1% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

First touchdown scorer predictions

Minnesota Vikings

Player	First TD Probability
Jordan Mason (RB)	14.3%
Justin Jefferson (WR)	8.5%
Jordan Addison (WR)	6.0%

Pittsburgh Steelers

Player	First TD Probability
Jaylen Warren (RB)	8.5%
DK Metcalf (WR)	8.0%
Kenneth Gainwell (RB)	6.6%

Anytime touchdown scorer predictions

Minnesota Vikings

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Jordan Mason (RB)	51.1%
Justin Jefferson (WR)	34.7%
Jordan Addison (WR)	25.9%

Pittsburgh Steelers

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Jaylen Warren (RB)	36.4%
DK Metcalf (WR)	34.6%
Kenneth Gainwell (RB)	29.7%

Vikings vs Steelers player props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Vikings and Steelers. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Vikings-Steelers page now to access every player prop projection.

Vikings vs. Steelers quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Vikings' Carson Wentz is projected to throw for more yards than the Steelers' Aaron Rodgers.

Vikings rushing

Jordan Mason, Zavier Scott and Carson Wentz are projected to be the leading rushers for the Vikings.

Player	Position
Jordan Mason	RB
Zavier Scott	RB
Carson Wentz	QB

Steelers rushing

Jaylen Warren, Kenneth Gainwell and Aaron Rodgers are expected to lead the Steelers in rushing yards.

Player	Position
Jaylen Warren	RB
Kenneth Gainwell	RB
Aaron Rodgers	QB

Vikings receiving

Justin Jefferson, Jordan Addison, T.J. Hockenson, Jalen Nailor and Jordan Mason are projected to top the receiving yards for the Vikings.

Player	Position
Justin Jefferson	WR
Jordan Addison	WR
T.J. Hockenson	TE
Jalen Nailor	WR
Jordan Mason	RB

Steelers receiving

DK Metcalf, Calvin Austin, Jonnu Smith, Pat Freiermuth and Jaylen Warren are projected to lead the Steelers in receiving yards.

Player	Position
DK Metcalf	WR
Calvin Austin	WR
Jonnu Smith	TE
Pat Freiermuth	TE
Jaylen Warren	RB

Vikings vs. Steelers game-day updates and essential details

The NFL Week 4 game between the Steelers and Vikings at Croke Park is scheduled to begin at 9:30AM ET.

• Who: Minnesota Vikings vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
• Date: Sunday, September 28, 2025
• Time: 9:30AM ET/6:30AM PT
• Venue: Croke Park

Dimers' in-depth preview of this week's Vikings vs. Steelers matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Vikings vs. Steelers picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

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Conclusion

We predict the Vikings, with a 59% win probability, will likely beat the Steelers in Week 4 of the NFL season.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Vikings vs. Steelers insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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