Vikings vs. Bears prediction: Why Chicago is favored to win MNF Week 1, 2025

The Chicago Bears will face the Minnesota Vikings in NFL Week 1 action at Soldier Field on Monday, commencing at 8:15PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven NFL model predicts the Bears as the most likely winner of today's game.

This updated Vikings vs. Bears betting preview builds on my Vikings vs. Bears prediction that was published earlier in the week.

For a closer look at today’s game, including the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Vikings vs. Bears predictions page.

Vikings vs. Bears Predictions

Since our Vikings-Bears predictions earlier in the week, we have simulated the result of Monday's NFL game between the Vikings and Bears 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Bears a 53% chance of beating the Vikings in Week 1 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Bears winning 22-21.

According to our model, the Vikings (+1.5) have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the 43.5-point over/under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

Vikings vs. Bears odds

We have sourced the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Vikings	Bears
Spread	+1.5 (-122)	-1.5 (+100)
Moneyline	-105	-108
Total	o43.5 (-106)	u43.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Vikings vs. Bears picks and best bets

Our model's strongest edge in today's Vikings vs. Bears matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, matched against the best odds, reveal the best NFL picks and NFL best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Vikings vs. Bears TD scorers

Who will score the first touchdown in Vikings vs. Bears?

According to our model, Minnesota's Justin Jefferson is most likely to score the first touchdown in Vikings vs. Bears.

Our projections give Jefferson a 9.3% chance of scoring the first TD at Soldier Field, while the Vikings wide receiver is a 38.0% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

First touchdown scorer predictions

Minnesota Vikings

Player	First TD Probability
Justin Jefferson (WR)	9.3%
Aaron Jones (RB)	8.6%
Jordan Mason (RB)	8.2%

Chicago Bears

Player	First TD Probability
D'Andre Swift (RB)	8.1%
DJ Moore (WR)	6.9%
Roschon Johnson (RB)	6.2%

Anytime touchdown scorer predictions

Minnesota Vikings

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Justin Jefferson (WR)	38.0%
Aaron Jones (RB)	35.8%
Jordan Mason (RB)	34.4%

Chicago Bears

Player	Anytime TD Probability
D'Andre Swift (RB)	34.9%
DJ Moore (WR)	30.4%
Roschon Johnson (RB)	27.8%

Vikings vs Bears player props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Vikings and Bears. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Vikings-Bears page now to access every player prop projection.

Vikings vs. Bears quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Vikings' J.J. McCarthy is projected to throw for fewer yards than the Bears' Caleb Williams.

Vikings rushing

Aaron Jones, Jordan Mason and J.J. McCarthy are projected to be the leading rushers for the Vikings.

Player	Position
Aaron Jones	RB
Jordan Mason	RB
J.J. McCarthy	QB

Bears rushing

D'Andre Swift, Caleb Williams and Kyle Monangai are expected to lead the Bears in rushing yards.

Player	Position
D'Andre Swift	RB
Caleb Williams	QB
Kyle Monangai	RB

Vikings receiving

Justin Jefferson, T.J. Hockenson, Adam Thielen, Jalen Nailor and Aaron Jones are projected to top the receiving yards for the Vikings.

Player	Position
Justin Jefferson	WR
T.J. Hockenson	TE
Adam Thielen	WR
Jalen Nailor	WR
Aaron Jones	RB

Bears receiving

DJ Moore, Rome Odunze, Colston Loveland, Olamide Zaccheaus and Cole Kmet are projected to lead the Bears in receiving yards.

Player	Position
DJ Moore	WR
Rome Odunze	WR
Colston Loveland	TE
Olamide Zaccheaus	WR
Cole Kmet	TE

Vikings vs. Bears game-day updates and essential details

The NFL Week 1 matchup between the Bears and Vikings at Soldier Field is scheduled to commence at 8:15PM ET.

• Who: Minnesota Vikings vs. Chicago Bears
• Date: Monday, September 8, 2025
• Time: 8:15PM ET/5:15PM PT
• Venue: Soldier Field

Dimers' in-depth preview of Monday's Vikings vs. Bears matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Vikings vs. Bears picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

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Conclusion

We predict the Bears, with a 53% win probability, will likely beat the Vikings in Week 1 of the NFL season.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Vikings vs. Bears insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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