Lynx vs. Mercury prediction: Why Minnesota is favored to win Game 3 [2025 WNBA Playoffs]

WNBA Playoffs action continues on Friday at 9:30PM ET as the Minnesota Lynx take on the Phoenix Mercury at PHX Arena.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven WNBA model predicts the Lynx as the most likely winner of Game 3.

The Mercury, with stars like Satou Sabally, Kahleah Copper and Alyssa Thomas, are set to take on the Lynx, who feature Napheesa Collier, Kayla McBride and Courtney Williams.

For a closer look at Friday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Lynx vs. Mercury predictions page.

Mercury vs. Lynx prediction: Who will win Game 3?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's WNBA matchup between the Lynx and Mercury 10,000 times as part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Lynx a 60% chance of defeating the Mercury in Game 3 of the series.

According to our model, the Mercury (+4.5) have a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the 158.5-point over/under has a 57% chance of going over.

Lynx vs. Mercury Game 3 odds

We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Lynx	Mercury
Spread	-4.5 (-105)	+4.5 (-115)
Moneyline	-170	+152
Total	o158.5 (-112)	u158.5 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Lynx vs. Mercury picks and best bets for Game 3

Our model's strongest edge in today's Lynx vs. Mercury matchup is on the spread.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the best odds, reveal the best WNBA picks and WNBA best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Lynx vs. Mercury Game 3 player props

Betting on Lynx vs. Mercury WNBA player props? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at PHX Arena.

Napheesa Collier is expected to lead the Lynx in scoring, while Satou Sabally is projected to be the top scorer for the Mercury.

Dimers Pro users can access a full range of player props and projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every WNBA game this season.

Lynx vs. Mercury Game 3 updates and essential details

Friday's Game 3 between the Mercury and Lynx at PHX Arena is scheduled to commence at 9:30PM ET.

• Who: Minnesota Lynx vs. Phoenix Mercury
• Date: Friday, September 26, 2025
• Time: 9:30PM ET/6:30PM PT
• Venue: PHX Arena

Dimers' comprehensive preview of Friday's Lynx vs. Mercury matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Lynx vs. Mercury picks, be sure to check out the latest WNBA predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Conclusion

We predict the Lynx, with a 60% win probability, will likely beat the Mercury on Friday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Lynx vs. Mercury insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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