Marlins vs. Phillies prediction: Why Philadelphia is favored to win Thursday's MLB matchup [9/25/2025]

MLB action continues on Thursday at 6:05PM ET as the Miami Marlins lock horns with the Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park.

The Phillies will start Walker Buehler (9-7, 5.13 ERA), while the Marlins have opted for Janson Junk (6-3, 4.27 ERA).

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced MLB model predicts the Phillies as the most likely winner of today's game.

For a closer look at Thursday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Marlins vs. Phillies predictions page.

Phillies vs. Marlins prediction: Who will win, cover the run line?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's MLB matchup between the Marlins and Phillies 10,000 times as part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Phillies a 62% chance of beating the Marlins.

According to our model, the Marlins (+1.5) have a 54% chance of covering the run line, while the 9-run over/under has a 60% chance of going over.

Marlins vs. Phillies odds [9/25/2025]

We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Marlins	Phillies
Run Line	+1.5 (-150)	-1.5 (+128)
Moneyline	+140	-154
Total	o9 (-120)	u9 (+100)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Marlins vs. Phillies picks and best bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Marlins vs. Phillies matchup is on the run line.

Our expert predictions, matched against the latest odds, reveal the best MLB picks and MLB best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Calling Our Shot's free MLB picks

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Marlins vs. Phillies game-day updates and essential details

Thursday's MLB matchup between the Phillies and Marlins at Citizens Bank Park is scheduled to begin at 6:05PM ET.

• Who: Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies
• Date: Thursday, September 25, 2025
• Time: 6:05PM ET/3:05PM PT
• Venue: Citizens Bank Park

Dimers' comprehensive preview of Thursday's Marlins vs. Phillies matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Marlins vs. Phillies picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Conclusion

We predict the Phillies, with a 62% win probability, will likely beat the Marlins on Thursday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Marlins vs. Phillies insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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