Marlins vs. Red Sox prediction: Boston predicted to win Sunday's MLB matchup [8/17/2025]

MLB action continues on Sunday at 1:35PM ET as the Miami Marlins lock horns with the Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park.

The Red Sox will have Garrett Crochet (13-5, 2.48 ERA) as their starting pitcher, while the Marlins have opted for Janson Junk (6-2, 4.06 ERA).

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced MLB model predicts the Red Sox as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Marlins-Red Sox game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Red Sox with a win probability of 72%, while the Marlins have 28%."

For expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Marlins vs. Red Sox predictions page.

Red Sox vs. Marlins prediction: Who will win, cover the run line?

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's MLB game between the Marlins and Red Sox 10,000 times as part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Red Sox a 72% chance of beating the Marlins.

According to our model, the Red Sox (-1.5) have a 53% chance of covering the run line, while the 8.5-run over/under has a 51% chance of staying under.

Marlins vs. Red Sox odds [8/17/2025]

We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Marlins	Red Sox
Run Line	+1.5 (+110)	-1.5 (-126)
Moneyline	+225	-260
Total	o8.5 (-115)	u8.5 (+100)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Marlins vs. Red Sox picks and best bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Marlins vs. Red Sox matchup is on the run line.

Our expert predictions, matched against the latest odds, reveal the best MLB picks and MLB best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Calling Our Shot's free MLB picks

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Marlins vs. Red Sox game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's MLB game between the Red Sox and Marlins at Fenway Park is scheduled to commence at 1:35PM ET.

• Who: Miami Marlins vs. Boston Red Sox
• Date: Sunday, August 17, 2025
• Time: 1:35PM ET/10:35AM PT
• Venue: Fenway Park

Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Sunday's Marlins vs. Red Sox matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Marlins vs. Red Sox picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Conclusion

We predict the Red Sox, with a 72% win probability, will likely beat the Marlins on Sunday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Marlins vs. Red Sox insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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