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Hawthorn Hawks vs. Melbourne Demons prediction: Hawks predicted to win Saturday's AFL Round 23 matchup [8/16/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Our expert prediction for Saturday's Hawthorn Hawks vs Melbourne Demons matchup.
The Hawthorn Hawks will take on the Melbourne Demons in Australian Football League (AFL) action at Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday, commencing at 2:15AM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven AFL model predicts the Hawks as the most likely winner of today's game.
For a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Demons vs. Hawks predictions page.
Hawks vs. Demons prediction: Who will win Round 23 game?
Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's AFL matchup between the Demons and Hawks 10,000 times as part of our AFL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Hawks a 75% chance of defeating the Demons.
According to our model, the Demons (+20.5) have a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the 164.5- over/under has a 54% chance of staying under.
Melbourne vs. Hawthorn odds
We have researched the best AFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Demons | Hawks |
|---|---|---|
| H2H (Moneyline) | +235 | -312 |
| Line (Spread) | +20.5 (-115) | -20.5 (-115) |
| Total | o164.5 (-115) | u164.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Make the most of your sports betting experience by exploring our comprehensive list of US betting apps, and the latest sportsbooks in 2025, ensuring you never miss a top new-user deal.
Hawks vs. Demons game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's Australian rules football action between the Hawks and Demons at Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to commence at 2:15AM ET.
- Who: Melbourne Demons vs. Hawthorn Hawks
- Date: Saturday, August 16, 2025
- Time: 2:15AM ET/11:15PM PT
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
The AFL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with fans highlighting the high-octane 360-degree nature of the sport as a top reason to follow it.
Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Saturday's Demons vs. Hawks matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Melbourne vs. Hawthorn picks, be sure to check out the latest AFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Conclusion
We predict the Hawks, with a 75% win probability, will likely beat the Demons on Saturday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Demons vs. Hawks insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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