Mattia Bellucci vs. Carlos Alcaraz prediction, odds, picks for US Open 2025

Mattia Bellucci will face Carlos Alcaraz in the second round of the US Open Men's Singles 2025 on Wednesday.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven tennis model predicts Carlos Alcaraz as the most likely winner of the match.

"We have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's Bellucci-Alcaraz match 10,000 times," said Dimers data analyst Greg Butyn.

"With the latest updates and numerous other variables, we estimate Carlos Alcaraz' chance of winning at 97%, with Mattia Bellucci at 3%."

For expanded analysis of Wednesday's match, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Bellucci vs. Alcaraz predictions page.

Bellucci vs. Alcaraz prediction: Who will win and advance to the Round of 32?

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's Bellucci-Alcaraz men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives Alcaraz a 97% chance of beating Bellucci in the US Open 2025.

Additionally, Alcaraz has a 90% chance of winning the first set, while the under 29.5 games has a 63% chance of hitting, according to our model.

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Mattia Bellucci vs. Carlos Alcaraz odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Bellucci	Alcaraz
Moneyline	+2000	-5000
First Set	+550	-909
Total Games	o29.5 (-115)	u29.5 (-112)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Bellucci vs. Alcaraz picks and best bets

Our model's strongest edge in today's Bellucci vs. Alcaraz match is on the first set.

Our expert predictions, matched against the best odds, reveal the best tennis picks and tennis best bets for every match throughout the year.

Unlimited access to our complete set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Bellucci vs. Alcaraz updates and essential details

The US Open 2025 match between Mattia Bellucci and Carlos Alcaraz is scheduled to commence on Wednesday at 7:00PM ET.

• Who: Mattia Bellucci vs. Carlos Alcaraz
• Date: Wednesday, August 27, 2025
• Approx. Time: 7:00PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Tournament: US Open Men's Singles 2025
• Round: Second round

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Wednesday's Bellucci vs. Alcaraz match includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Mattia Bellucci vs. Carlos Alcaraz picks, be sure to check out the latest tennis predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Key tennis betting guides and insights

• Learn how to bet on tennis and understand how tennis odds work
• Explore where sports odds come from and how they’re applied to tennis matches
• Stay informed with guides on where online sports betting is currently legal and which states could legalize next
• Improve your chances with proven sports betting strategies that apply to tennis and more

Conclusion

We predict Carlos Alcaraz, with a 97% win probability, will likely beat Mattia Bellucci at the US Open 2025.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Bellucci vs. Alcaraz insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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