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Maple Leafs vs. Senators Prediction and Odds - Mar 18, 2023

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Written by Dimers Data
Maple Leafs vs. Senators Prediction and Odds - Mar 18, 2023

The Ottawa Senators square off with the Toronto Maple Leafs in NHL action at Canadian Tire Centre on Saturday, starting at 7:00PM ET.

Dimers' best betting picks for Maple Leafs vs. Senators, as well as game predictions, betting odds and touchdown scorer probabilities, are detailed below.

 

Who will win Maple Leafs vs. Senators?

Based on state-of-the-art computer power and data, Dimers.com has simulated Saturday's Maple Leafs-Senators NHL game 10,000 times.

Dimers' famous predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, currently gives the Maple Leafs a 56% chance of getting the W against the Senators.

More: Maple Leafs vs. Senators Simulated 10K Times

Maple Leafs vs. Senators Odds

  • Puck Line: Senators +1.5 (-210), Maple Leafs -1.5 (+180)
  • Moneyline: Senators +115, Maple Leafs -135
  • Total: Over/Under 6.5 (-130/+110)

Puck Line, Moneyline and Over/Under

The Senators are currently +1.5 underdogs versus the Maple Leafs, with -210 at FanDuel Sportsbook the best odds currently available.

For the favored Maple Leafs (-1.5) to cover the puck line, BetMGM has the best odds currently on the market at +180.

BetMGM currently has the best moneyline odds for the Senators at +115, which means you can bet $100 to profit $115, earning a total payout of $215, if they win.

On the other hand, BetMGM also has the best moneyline odds for the Maple Leafs at -135, where you can risk $135 to win $100, for a total payout of $235, if they come out on top.

The Over/Under is set at 6.5 with BetMGM, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -130, while DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best odds for the Under at +110.

As always, make sure you check all of the online sportsbooks that are available in your state for the best NHL odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the Senators (+1.5) are a 66% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6.5-goal Over/Under is a 51% chance of going Under.

More: Best Prop Bets to Make Today

Best Bets for Maple Leafs vs. Senators

  • Puck Line: Maple Leafs -1.5 @ +180 via BetMGM
  • Moneyline: Maple Leafs @ -135 via BetMGM (56% probability)
  • Total: Under 6.5 @ +110 via DraftKings Sportsbook (51% probability)

 

Dimers' best bets are based on detailed simulations and gambling expertise to help you make smarter decisions with your state's legal sportsbooks.

Even though the Senators are more likely to cover the puck line, our best bet of Maple Leafs -1.5 is based on the likelihood of that happening, according to DimersBOT, and the top odds available.

Maple Leafs vs. Senators Prediction

Click or tap on See Matchup to reveal more.

 

Dimers has full coverage of Saturday's Maple Leafs-Senators matchup, including pregame predictions, best betting picks, and live win probabilities.

Maple Leafs vs. Senators Player Props

Who will score the first goal in Maple Leafs vs. Senators? The data is in.

Listed below are the most likely first goal and most likely anytime goal scorers for both the Maple Leafs and Senators.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you choose the best prop picks for Saturday's game.

According to DimersBOT, Toronto's Auston Matthews is most likely to score the first goal in Maple Leafs vs. Senators.

DimersBOT gives Matthews a 12.9% chance of scoring the first goal at Canadian Tire Centre, while the Maple Leafs star is a 55.4% chance of netting an anytime goal.

Scroll down for the complete list of first and anytime goal scorer probabilities.

 

First Goal Scorer Probabilities

Toronto Maple Leafs

  • Auston Matthews: 12.9% probability
  • William Nylander: 7.1% probability
  • Mitch Marner: 7.1% probability
  • John Tavares: 5.9% probability
  • Michael Bunting: 4.5% probability

Ottawa Senators

  • Tim Stutzle: 7.4% probability
  • Alex DeBrincat: 6.4% probability
  • Brady Tkachuk: 5.9% probability
  • Claude Giroux: 5.2% probability
  • Drake Batherson: 5.2% probability

Anytime Goal Scorer Probabilities

Toronto Maple Leafs

  • Auston Matthews: 55.4% probability
  • William Nylander: 37.6% probability
  • Mitch Marner: 37.5% probability
  • John Tavares: 33.1% probability
  • Michael Bunting: 24.3% probability

Ottawa Senators

  • Tim Stutzle: 35.9% probability
  • Brady Tkachuk: 33.7% probability
  • Alex DeBrincat: 33.0% probability
  • Claude Giroux: 29.0% probability
  • Drake Batherson: 27.8% probability

Remember, DimersBOT updates often, so keep an eye on this page for the latest betting insights before Maple Leafs vs. Senators on Saturday March 18, 2023.

 

Maple Leafs vs. Senators 2023 Game Info

Saturday's action between the Senators and Maple Leafs at Canadian Tire Centre is scheduled to commence at 7:00PM ET.

  • Who: Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Ottawa Senators
  • Date: Saturday March 18, 2023
  • Time: 7:00PM ET / 4:00PM PT
  • Venue: Canadian Tire Centre

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Want more NHL previews like this?

To get more NHL betting previews like you've just read for Maple Leafs vs. Senators, all you've gotta do is visit our NHL Betting News section. It's that easy – they're all there!

We use the power of predictive analytics to find value in the markets so we can write the best NHL betting previews out there. We do this by comparing our in-house probabilities against the sportsbooks' odds (aka Vegas odds) as soon as they go live.

So, get ahead of the game and beat the bookies today – it's only a click away.

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Dimers Data

Dimers Data delivers cold-blooded analysis straight from thousands of simulations run by predictive models built by our in-house team of data scientists and analysts. No hunches. No guesswork. Just pure, data-led insight serious bettors rely on to stay ahead.

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