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Maple Leafs vs. Senators Prediction and Odds - Apr 1, 2023

The Ottawa Senators face the Toronto Maple Leafs in NHL action at Canadian Tire Centre on Saturday, starting at 7:00PM ET.
Dimers' free betting picks for Maple Leafs vs. Senators, as well as game predictions, betting odds and projected player stats, are detailed below.
Who will win Maple Leafs vs. Senators?
Using state-of-the-art computer power and data, Dimers.com has simulated Saturday's Maple Leafs-Senators NHL game 10,000 times.
Dimers' renowned predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, gives the Maple Leafs a 58% chance of defeating the Senators.
More: Full Betting Guide for Maple Leafs vs. Senators
Maple Leafs vs. Senators Odds
- Puck Line: Senators +1.5 (-170), Maple Leafs -1.5 (+155)
- Moneyline: Senators +138, Maple Leafs -155
- Total: Over/Under 6.5 (-130/+115)
Puck Line, Moneyline and Over/Under
The Senators are listed as +1.5 underdogs versus the Maple Leafs, with -170 at FanDuel Sportsbook the best odds currently available.
For the favored Maple Leafs (-1.5) to cover the puck line, PointsBet has the best odds currently on the market at +155.
FanDuel Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Senators at +138. That means you can bet $100 to profit $138, earning a total payout of $238, if they win.
Elsewhere, DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Maple Leafs at -155, where you can risk $155 to win $100, for a total payout of $255, if they come out on top.
The Over/Under for total goals scored sits at 6.5 with DraftKings Sportsbook, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -130, while PointsBet currently has the best odds for the Under at +115.
As always, make sure you check the sportsbooks you have access to in your state for the best NHL odds and lines.
According to DimersBOT, the Senators (+1.5) are a 64% chance of covering the puck line, while the Over/Under total of 6.5 goals is a 51% chance of going Over.
More: Best Bets for Every NHL Matchup
Best Bets for Maple Leafs vs. Senators
- Puck Line: Senators +1.5 @ -170 via FanDuel Sportsbook (64% probability)
- Moneyline: Senators @ +138 via FanDuel Sportsbook (0.2% edge)
- Total: Under 6.5 @ +115 via PointsBet (3.0% edge)
Dimers' best bets are based on detailed simulations and wagering expertise to help you make more informed decisions with your state's legal sportsbooks.
While the Maple Leafs are more likely to win the game, according to DimersBOT, taking the Senators moneyline is the best option because of the edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the sportsbooks' odds currently available.
Taking advantage of the edges published here at Dimers.com is pivotal to being a profitable bettor in the long run.
Furthermore, despite the Over being more likely to hit on this occasion, Under 6.5 is our best bet owing to the better odds (+115) that are available from PointsBet.
Maple Leafs vs. Senators Prediction
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Dimers has full coverage of Saturday's Maple Leafs-Senators matchup, including pregame predictions, best betting picks, and live win probabilities.
Maple Leafs vs. Senators Player Props
Who will score the first goal in Maple Leafs vs. Senators? The latest data is in.
Listed below are the most likely first goal and most likely anytime goal scorers for both the Maple Leafs and Senators.
And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you choose the best prop picks for Saturday's game.
According to DimersBOT, Toronto's Auston Matthews is most likely to score the first goal in Maple Leafs vs. Senators.
DimersBOT gives Matthews a 12.1% chance of scoring the first goal at Canadian Tire Centre, while the Maple Leafs star is a 56.5% chance of netting an anytime goal.
Scroll down for the complete list of first and anytime goal scorer probabilities.
First Goal Scorer Probabilities
Toronto Maple Leafs
- Auston Matthews: 12.1% probability
- Mitch Marner: 7.1% probability
- William Nylander: 6.5% probability
- John Tavares: 6.3% probability
- Michael Bunting: 4.1% probability
Ottawa Senators
- Tim Stutzle: 7.5% probability
- Brady Tkachuk: 7.0% probability
- Alex DeBrincat: 6.4% probability
- Drake Batherson: 5.1% probability
- Claude Giroux: 5.0% probability
Anytime Goal Scorer Probabilities
Toronto Maple Leafs
- Auston Matthews: 56.5% probability
- Mitch Marner: 39.4% probability
- William Nylander: 35.5% probability
- John Tavares: 34.1% probability
- Michael Bunting: 25.8% probability
Ottawa Senators
- Tim Stutzle: 39.4% probability
- Brady Tkachuk: 38.8% probability
- Alex DeBrincat: 35.2% probability
- Claude Giroux: 27.2% probability
- Drake Batherson: 27.2% probability
Remember, DimersBOT updates frequently, so check this article for any changes to our betting insights before Maple Leafs vs. Senators on Saturday April 1, 2023.
Maple Leafs vs. Senators 2023 Game Info
Saturday's game between the Senators and Maple Leafs at Canadian Tire Centre is scheduled to commence at 7:00PM ET.
- Who: Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Ottawa Senators
- Date: Saturday April 1, 2023
- Time: 7:00PM ET / 4:00PM PT
- Venue: Canadian Tire Centre
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What other NHL games are on today?
The Maple Leafs and Senators aren't the only two NHL teams you can bet on. DimersBOT never stops and we've got picks and top bets for each and every NHL matchup via our NHL Predictions page.
Not only do we provide with you top-notch predictions, but we also have recommended bets for the Puck Line, Over/Under and Moneyline. Sound good? Hell yeah it does!