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Maple Leafs vs. Sabres Prediction and Odds - Feb 21, 2023

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Written by Dimers Data
Maple Leafs vs. Sabres Prediction and Odds - Feb 21, 2023

The Buffalo Sabres and Toronto Maple Leafs lock horns in of the NHL at KeyBank Center on Tuesday, with puck drop at 7:30PM ET.

Dimers' free betting picks for Maple Leafs vs. Sabres, plus game predictions, betting odds and projected player stats, are detailed in this article.

 

Who will win Maple Leafs vs. Sabres?

Based on high-tech computer power and data, Dimers.com has simulated Tuesday's Maple Leafs-Sabres NHL matchup 10,000 times.

Dimers' independent predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, currently gives the Maple Leafs a 59% chance of winning against the Sabres.

More: Free Betting Analysis for Maple Leafs vs. Sabres

Maple Leafs vs. Sabres Game Odds

  • Puck Line: Sabres +1.5 (-165), Maple Leafs -1.5 (+145)
  • Moneyline: Sabres +150, Maple Leafs -175
  • Total: Over/Under 6.5 (-140/+120)

Puck Line, Moneyline and Over/Under

The Sabres are currently +1.5 underdogs against the Maple Leafs, with -165 at BetMGM the best odds currently available.

For the favored Maple Leafs (-1.5) to cover the puck line, DraftKings Sportsbook has the best odds currently on the market at +145.

DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Sabres at +150, which means you can bet $100 to profit $150, earning a total payout of $250, if they win.

Meanwhile, BetMGM currently has the best moneyline odds for the Maple Leafs at -175, where you can risk $175 to win $100, for a total payout of $275, if they come out on top.

The Over/Under is set at 6.5 with PointsBet, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -140, as well as the best odds for the Under at +120.

As always, make sure you check all of the online sportsbooks available in your state for the best NHL odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the Sabres (+1.5) are a 63% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6.5-goal Over/Under is a 52% chance of going Over.

More: Track Your Bets via Dimers' Bet Center

Best Bets for Maple Leafs vs. Sabres

 

Dimers' best bets are based on detailed modeling and wagering intelligence to serve you the best possible plays 24/7.

While the Maple Leafs are more likely to win the game, according to DimersBOT, taking the Sabres moneyline is the best option because of the 1.0% edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the betting odds currently available.

Taking advantage of the edges seen on Dimers is one of the keys to being a profitable bettor in the long run.

Furthermore, despite the Over being more likely to hit on this occasion, Under 6.5 is our best bet owing to the better odds (+120) that are available from PointsBet.

Maple Leafs vs. Sabres Probabilities

Click or tap on See Matchup for more.

 

Dimers has full coverage of Tuesday's Maple Leafs-Sabres matchup, including pregame predictions, computer picks, and live win probabilities.

Maple Leafs vs. Sabres Player Props

Who will score an anytime goal in Maple Leafs vs. Sabres? The data is in.

Listed below are the most likely first goal and most likely anytime goal scorers for both the Maple Leafs and Sabres.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you choose the best prop bets for Tuesday's game.

According to DimersBOT, Toronto's Auston Matthews is most likely to score the first goal in Maple Leafs vs. Sabres.

DimersBOT gives Matthews a 9.1% chance of scoring the first goal at KeyBank Center, while the Maple Leafs star is a 47.8% chance of netting an anytime goal.

Scroll down for the complete list of first and anytime goal scorer probabilities.

 

First Goal Scorer Probabilities

Toronto Maple Leafs

  • Auston Matthews: 9.1% probability
  • William Nylander: 6.4% probability
  • Mitch Marner: 5.5% probability
  • John Tavares: 5.5% probability
  • Michael Bunting: 5.1% probability

Buffalo Sabres

  • Tage Thompson: 6.0% probability
  • Jeff Skinner: 5.0% probability
  • Alex Tuch: 4.5% probability
  • Dylan Cozens: 4.4% probability
  • Victor Olofsson: 4.1% probability

Anytime Goal Scorer Probabilities

Toronto Maple Leafs

  • Auston Matthews: 47.8% probability
  • William Nylander: 34.8% probability
  • John Tavares: 32.3% probability
  • Mitch Marner: 32.2% probability
  • Michael Bunting: 28.0% probability

Buffalo Sabres

  • Tage Thompson: 34.9% probability
  • Jeff Skinner: 29.1% probability
  • Dylan Cozens: 28.5% probability
  • Alex Tuch: 28.4% probability
  • Victor Olofsson: 24.8% probability

Remember, DimersBOT updates often, so keep checking this article for any changes to our betting analysis before Maple Leafs vs. Sabres on Tuesday February 21, 2023.

 

Maple Leafs vs. Sabres 2023 Game Info

Tuesday's action between the Sabres and Maple Leafs at KeyBank Center is scheduled to begin at 7:30PM ET.

  • Who: Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Buffalo Sabres
  • Date: Tuesday February 21, 2023
  • Time: 7:30PM ET / 4:30PM PT
  • Venue: KeyBank Center

Want to join an online sportsbook and start betting on the NHL now? We've got access to the best available sign-up offers in every legal betting state.

Want more NHL predictions like this?

To get more NHL betting previews like you've just read for Maple Leafs vs. Sabres, all you've gotta do is visit our NHL Betting News section. It's that easy – they're all there!

We use the power of predictive analytics to find value in the markets so we can produce the most comprehensive NHL betting previews out there. We're able to do this by comparing our own probabilities against the sportsbooks' odds (aka Vegas odds) as soon as they go live.

So, get ahead of the game and beat the bookies today – it's only a click away.

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Dimers Data

Dimers Data delivers cold-blooded analysis straight from thousands of simulations run by predictive models built by our in-house team of data scientists and analysts. No hunches. No guesswork. Just pure, data-led insight serious bettors rely on to stay ahead.

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