Manchester United vs. Arsenal Prediction, Odds, Premier League Picks [8/17/2025]

Manchester United will take on Arsenal in Premier League Week 1 action at Old Trafford on Sunday, beginning at 11:30AM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced Premier League model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects Arsenal as the most likely winner of the game. "Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Manchester United-Arsenal game," said Jason Bevilacqua from Dimers.

"After incorporating the most recent updates and numerous additional inputs, our prediction gives Manchester United a 27.0% chance of winning, Arsenal a 48.3% chance, and a 24.7% chance of a draw."

For further insights into Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Manchester United vs. Arsenal predictions page.

Manchester United vs. Arsenal Prediction: Who Will Win?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's Premier League match between Manchester United and Arsenal 10,000 times as part of our Premier League predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently suggests a 27.0% chance of Manchester United winning, a 48.3% chance for Arsenal, and a 24.7% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 52% chance of going over, according to our model.

Manchester United vs. Arsenal Odds

We have sourced the best Premier League odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

Manchester United	Arsenal	Draw
+240	+110	+250

Total Goals

Over 2.5	Under 2.5
-113	-113

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Manchester United vs. Arsenal Picks and Best Bets

Our model's strongest edge in the Manchester United vs. Arsenal matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, matched against the latest odds, reveal the best Premier League picks and Premier League best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Manchester United vs. Arsenal: Correct Score and BTTS Predictions

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

Final Score	Probability
MUN 1-1 ARS	11.7%
MUN 0-1 ARS	10.2%
MUN 1-2 ARS	9.5%

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 54.7% chance that both teams scoring, and a 45.3% probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.

These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations, which means the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.

Manchester United vs. Arsenal Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Sunday's Premier League matchup between Manchester United and Arsenal at Old Trafford is scheduled to begin in the USA at 11:30AM ET.

• Who: Manchester United vs. Arsenal
• Date: Sunday, August 17, 2025
• Time: 11:30AM ET/8:30AM PT
• Venue: Old Trafford

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Sunday's Manchester United vs. Arsenal matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Arsenal vs. Manchester United picks, be sure to check out the latest Premier League predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Manchester United has a 27.0% win probability on Sunday, Arsenal has a 48.3% win probability, and there is a 24.7% chance that the game will end in a draw.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Manchester United vs. Arsenal insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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