Luca Nardi vs. Carlos Alcaraz Prediction, Odds, Picks for ATP Cincinnati Open 2025

Luca Nardi and Carlos Alcaraz are scheduled to meet in the round of 16 of the ATP Cincinnati Open event on Wednesday.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced tennis model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts Carlos Alcaraz as the most likely winner of the match. "We have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's Nardi-Alcaraz match 10,000 times," said Dimers data analyst Greg Butyn.

"With the latest updates and numerous other variables, we estimate Carlos Alcaraz' chance of winning at 81%, with Luca Nardi at 19%."

For a closer look at Wednesday's match, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Nardi vs. Alcaraz predictions page.

Nardi vs. Alcaraz Prediction: Who Will Win and Advance to the Quarterfinals?

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's Nardi-Alcaraz men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives Alcaraz an 81% chance of beating Nardi at the ATP Cincinnati Open tournament.

Additionally, Alcaraz has a 76% chance of winning the first set, according to our model.

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Luca Nardi vs. Carlos Alcaraz Odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Nardi	Alcaraz
Moneyline	+1000	-2000
First Set	+550	-909

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Nardi vs. Alcaraz Picks and Best Bets

Our model's strongest edge in today's Nardi vs. Alcaraz match is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the current odds, reveal the best tennis picks and tennis best bets for every tournament throughout the year.

Unlimited access to our complete set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Nardi vs. Alcaraz Updates and Essential Details

The ATP Cincinnati Open match between Luca Nardi and Carlos Alcaraz is scheduled to begin on Wednesday at 8:15PM ET.

• Who: Luca Nardi vs. Carlos Alcaraz
• Date: Wednesday, August 13, 2025
• Approx. Time: 8:15PM ET/5:15PM PT
• Tournament: ATP Cincinnati, USA Men's Singles 2025
• Round: Round of 16

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Wednesday's Nardi vs. Alcaraz match includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Luca Nardi vs. Carlos Alcaraz picks, be sure to check out the latest tennis predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

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Conclusion

We predict Carlos Alcaraz, with an 81% win probability, will likely beat Luca Nardi at the ATP Cincinnati Open tournament.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Nardi vs. Alcaraz insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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