Sparks vs. Mercury prediction: Why Phoenix is favored to win Tuesday's WNBA matchup [9/9/2025]

The Phoenix Mercury will face the Los Angeles Sparks in WNBA action at PHX Arena on Tuesday, beginning at 10:00PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven WNBA model projects the Mercury as the most likely winner of today's game.

The Mercury, who have stars such as Kahleah Copper, Satou Sabally and Alyssa Thomas, will face off against the Sparks, featuring Dearica Hamby, Kelsey Plum and Rickea Jackson.

For further insights into Tuesday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Sparks vs. Mercury predictions page.

Mercury vs. Sparks prediction: Who will win, cover the spread?

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Tuesday's WNBA matchup between the Sparks and Mercury 10,000 times as part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Mercury a 65% chance of defeating the Sparks.

According to our model, the Sparks (+6.5) have a 57% chance of covering the spread, while the 174.5-point over/under has a 60% chance of staying under.

Sparks vs. Mercury odds

We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Sparks	Mercury
Spread	+6.5 (-105)	-6.5 (-112)
Moneyline	+240	-265
Total	o174.5 (-108)	u174.5 (-112)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Sparks vs. Mercury picks and best bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Sparks vs. Mercury matchup is on the spread.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the current odds, reveal the best WNBA picks and WNBA best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Sparks vs. Mercury player props

Looking for Sparks vs. Mercury WNBA player props? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at PHX Arena.

Dearica Hamby is expected to lead the Sparks in scoring, while Kahleah Copper is projected to be the top scorer for the Mercury.

Dimers Pro users can access a full range of player props and projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every WNBA game this season.

Sparks vs. Mercury game-day updates and essential details

Tuesday's game between the Mercury and Sparks at PHX Arena is scheduled to commence at 10:00PM ET.

• Who: Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercury
• Date: Tuesday, September 9, 2025
• Time: 10:00PM ET/7:00PM PT
• Venue: PHX Arena

Dimers' comprehensive preview of Tuesday's Sparks vs. Mercury matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Sparks vs. Mercury picks, be sure to check out the latest WNBA predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

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Conclusion

We predict the Mercury, with a 65% win probability, will likely beat the Sparks on Tuesday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Sparks vs. Mercury insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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