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Sparks vs. Liberty Prediction: New York Predicted to Win Thursday's WNBA Game [7/3/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Our expert prediction for Thursday's Los Angeles Sparks vs New York Liberty matchup.
The New York Liberty will square off with the Los Angeles Sparks in WNBA action at Barclays Center on Thursday, beginning at 7:00PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced WNBA model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Liberty as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Using the latest data, our experts simulated Thursday's Sparks-Liberty game 10,000 times," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.
"Taking into account recent updates and various additional inputs, we forecast the Liberty with a win probability of 80% and the Sparks with 20%."
The Liberty, who have star players like Breanna Stewart, Sabrina Ionescu and Natasha Cloud, will face off against the Sparks, featuring Kelsey Plum, Dearica Hamby and Rickea Jackson.
For further insights into Thursday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Sparks vs. Liberty predictions page.
Liberty vs. Sparks Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Spread?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's WNBA matchup between the Sparks and Liberty 10,000 times as part of our WNBA predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Liberty an 80% chance of beating the Sparks.
According to our model, the Sparks (+10.5) have a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the 171.5-point over/under has a 61% chance of staying under.
Sparks vs. Liberty Odds
We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Sparks | Liberty |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +10.5 (-112) | -10.5 (-105) |
| Moneyline | +420 | -550 |
| Total | o171.5 (-108) | u171.5 (-112) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Make the most of your sports betting experience by exploring our comprehensive list of US betting apps, and the latest sportsbooks in 2025, ensuring you never miss a top new-user deal.
Sparks vs. Liberty Picks and Best Bets
Our model's biggest edge in today's Sparks vs. Liberty matchup is on the spread.
Our expert predictions, aligned with the current odds, reveal the best WNBA picks and WNBA best bets for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our full set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Sparks vs. Liberty Player Props
WNBA player props are a common way to wager on Thursday's Los Angeles vs. New York matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Barclays Center.
Kelsey Plum is expected to lead the Sparks with 18 points, 3 rebounds and 4 assists, while Breanna Stewart is projected to have 23 points, 8 rebounds and 4 assists for the Liberty.
Dimers Pro users can access a full range of player props and projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every WNBA game this season.
Sparks vs. Liberty Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
Thursday's action between the Liberty and Sparks at Barclays Center is scheduled to begin at 7:00PM ET.
- Who: Los Angeles Sparks vs. New York Liberty
- Date: Thursday, July 3, 2025
- Time: 7:00PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Barclays Center
Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Thursday's Sparks vs. Liberty matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Sparks vs. Liberty picks, be sure to check out the latest WNBA predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Conclusion
We predict the Liberty, with an 80% win probability, will likely beat the Sparks on Thursday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Sparks vs. Liberty insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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