Lions vs. Falcons Predictions and Odds - Dec 26, 2021

The Atlanta Falcons face the Detroit Lions in NFL Week 16 action at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Sunday, beginning at 1:00PM EST.

Dimers' top betting picks for Lions vs. Falcons, as well as game predictions, best odds and player props, are detailed in this article.

Who will win Lions vs. Falcons?

Based on state-of-the-art machine learning and data, Dimers.com has simulated Sunday's Lions-Falcons NFL game 10,000 times.

Dimers' proven predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, gives the Falcons a 76% chance of beating the Lions.

MORE: Free Betting Analysis for Lions vs. Falcons

Point Spread, Moneyline and Over/Under

The Falcons are listed as -7.5 favorites versus the Lions, with -110 at BetMGM the best odds available.

For the underdog Lions (+7.5) to cover the spread, BetMGM also has the best odds on offer at -110.

DraftKings Sportsbook has the best moneyline odds for the Falcons at -365. That means you can risk $365 to win $100, for a total payout of $465, if they get the W.

Meanwhile, BetMGM has the best moneyline odds for the Lions at +300, where you can bet $100 to profit $300, earning a total payout of $400, if they win.

The Over/Under is set at 43 with PointsBet, which has the best odds for the Over at -105, while DraftKings Sportsbook has the best odds for the Under at -110.

As always, make sure you check all the online sportsbooks that are available in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the bookmakers have got it right and both the Lions and Falcons are a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the 43-point Over/Under is a 53% chance of going Over.

MORE: Super Bowl 56 Probabilities and Odds

Best Bets for Lions vs. Falcons

• Spread: Lions +7.5 at -110 with BetMGM (50% probability)
• Moneyline: Lions Win at +300 with BetMGM
• Over/Under: Over 43 at -105 with PointsBet (53% probability)

While the Falcons are more likely to win the game, according to DimersBOT, betting on the Lions moneyline is the best option due to the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the sportsbooks' odds.

Taking advantage of the edges seen on Dimers is one of the keys to being profitable in the long run.

Lions vs. Falcons Score Prediction

Dimers.com's predicted final score for Detroit vs. Atlanta at Mercedes-Benz Stadium this Sunday has the Falcons winning 25-18.

Use our interactive widget below to explore the current Spread, Over/Under and Moneyline probabilities and odds for the game, and click or tap on See Matchup for more.

Dimers has full coverage of this week's Lions-Falcons matchup, including pre-game predictions, free picks, and live win probabilities.

Lions vs. Falcons Player Props

Who will score an anytime touchdown in Lions vs. Falcons? The data is in.

Featured below are the most likely first touchdown and most likely anytime touchdown scorers for both the Lions and Falcons, as well as projected player stats.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you select the best prop bets for Sunday's game.

According to DimersBOT, Atlanta's Cordarrelle Patterson is most likely to score the first TD in Lions vs. Falcons.

DimersBOT gives Patterson a 17.5% chance of scoring the first TD at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, while the Falcons RB is a 57.5% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

First Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Detroit Lions

• Amon-Ra St. Brown: 8.8% probability
• Jamaal Williams: 7.2% probability
• Josh Reynolds: 5.7% probability
• Shane Zylstra: 5.0% probability
• Kalif Raymond: 4.0% probability

Atlanta Falcons

• Cordarrelle Patterson: 17.5% probability
• Mike Davis: 9.2% probability
• Russell Gage: 7.6% probability
• Kyle Pitts: 7.5% probability
• Olamide Zaccheaus: 4.2% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Detroit Lions

• Amon-Ra St. Brown: 37.6% probability
• Jamaal Williams: 29.4% probability
• Josh Reynolds: 27.8% probability
• Shane Zylstra: 21.8% probability
• Kalif Raymond: 20.0% probability

Atlanta Falcons

• Cordarrelle Patterson: 57.5% probability
• Mike Davis: 35.0% probability
• Russell Gage: 32.4% probability
• Kyle Pitts: 30.6% probability
• Olamide Zaccheaus: 18.0% probability

Projected Box Score

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Lions' Tim Boyle is projected for 226 passing yards and 1.0 passing touchdowns, while the Falcons' Matt Ryan is expected to throw for 240 yards and 1.6 TDs.

Lions Starting QB

• Tim Boyle: 226 Passing Yards, 1.0 Passing TDs

Falcons Starting QB

• Matt Ryan: 240 Passing Yards, 1.6 Passing TDs

Lions Rushing

• Jamaal Williams: 30 Rushing Yards, 0.1 TDs
• Craig Reynolds: 10 Rushing Yards, 0.1 TDs
• Tim Boyle: 8 Rushing Yards, 0.1 TDs

Falcons Rushing

• Cordarrelle Patterson: 64 Rushing Yards, 0.6 TDs
• Mike Davis: 32 Rushing Yards, 0.3 TDs
• Qadree Ollison: 13 Rushing Yards, 0.1 TDs

Lions Receiving

• Amon-Ra St. Brown: 52 Receiving Yards, 0.2 TDs
• Josh Reynolds: 36 Receiving Yards, 0.2 TDs
• Kalif Raymond: 26 Receiving Yards, 0.1 TDs
• Shane Zylstra: 19 Receiving Yards, 0.1 TDs
• Brock Wright: 14 Receiving Yards, 0.1 TDs

Falcons Receiving

• Russell Gage: 65 Receiving Yards, 0.4 TDs
• Kyle Pitts: 60 Receiving Yards, 0.3 TDs
• Olamide Zaccheaus: 31 Receiving Yards, 0.2 TDs
• Cordarrelle Patterson: 29 Receiving Yards, 0.2 TDs
• Christian Blake: 20 Receiving Yards, 0.1 TDs

Don't forget, DimersBOT updates often, so keep checking this page for any changes to our betting analysis before Lions vs. Falcons on Sunday December 26, 2021.

Bet $10, Win $200 if Lions or Falcons Score a TD

BetMGM, the king of sportsbooks, is offering new customers the chance to Bet $10, Win $200 if the Lions or Falcons score a touchdown on Sunday.

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To claim this promo, join BetMGM via this exclusive link, deposit $10+ and place, as your first real-money bet after opening your account, a single $10 pre-game, moneyline wager on Detroit vs. Atlanta.

If either team scores a TD, you'll get $200 in Free Bets from BetMGM. How good is that!

Note: when you click or tap on a link on Dimers that leads to a third-party website that we have a commercial arrangement with (such as a sportsbook), we may earn a referral fee.

Lions vs. Falcons 2021 Game Info

When do the Falcons play the Lions?

• Date: Sunday December 26, 2021
• Time: 1:00PM EST / 10:00AM PST
• Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium

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