Lightning vs. Stars Prediction and Odds - Feb 11, 2023

NHL action continues on Saturday at 1:00PM ET as the Tampa Bay Lightning lock horns with the Dallas Stars at American Airlines Center.

Dimers' best betting picks for Lightning vs. Stars, plus game predictions, betting odds and projected player stats, are detailed below.

Who will win Lightning vs. Stars?

Based on trusted machine learning and data, Dimers.com has simulated Saturday's Lightning-Stars NHL game 10,000 times.

Dimers' renowned predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, gives the Stars a 51% chance of beating the Lightning.

More: Free Betting Analysis for Lightning vs. Stars

Lightning vs. Stars Current Odds

• Puck Line: Stars -1.5 (+245), Lightning +1.5 (-250)
• Moneyline: Stars -105, Lightning -105
• Total: Over/Under 6 (-105/-110)

Puck Line, Moneyline and Over/Under

The Stars are listed as -1.5 favorites versus the Lightning, with +245 at FanDuel Sportsbook the best odds currently available.

For the underdog Lightning (+1.5) to cover the puck line, BetMGM has the best odds currently on offer at -250.

In a sign of how close this game is expected to be, both the Stars and Lightning are currently at minus-money betting odds on the moneyline.

DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Stars at -105, which means you can risk $105 to win $100, for a total payout of $205, if they get the W.

Meanwhile, BetMGM currently has the best moneyline odds for the Lightning at -105, where you can risk $105 to win $100, for a total payout of $205, if they come out on top.

The Over/Under for total goals scored sits at 6 with PointsBet, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -105, while DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best odds for the Under at -110.

As always, make sure you check all the sportsbooks that are available in your state for the best NHL odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the Lightning (+1.5) are a 71% chance of covering the puck line, while the Over/Under total of 6 goals is a 53% chance of going Under.

More: Best Bets for Every NHL Game

Best Bets for Lightning vs. Stars

• Puck Line: Stars -1.5 @ +245 via FanDuel Sportsbook (0.3% edge)
• Moneyline: Stars @ -105 via DraftKings Sportsbook (51% probability)
• Total: Under 6 @ -110 via DraftKings Sportsbook (53% probability)

Our best bets are based on complex modeling and wagering intelligence to bring you the best possible plays every time.

Even though the Lightning are more likely to cover the puck line, our best bet of Stars -1.5 is based on the expectation of that happening, according to DimersBOT, and the best odds available.

Lightning vs. Stars Prediction

Click or tap on See Matchup for more.

Dimers has full coverage of Saturday's Lightning-Stars matchup, including pregame predictions, top betting picks, and live scores.

Lightning vs. Stars Player Props

Who will score an anytime goal in Lightning vs. Stars? The data is in.

Listed below are the most likely first goal and most likely anytime goal scorers for both the Lightning and Stars.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you discover the best prop bets for Saturday's game.

According to DimersBOT, Dallas' Roope Hintz is most likely to score the first goal in Lightning vs. Stars.

DimersBOT gives Hintz an 8.9% chance of scoring the first goal at American Airlines Center, while the Stars star is a 39.7% chance of netting an anytime goal.

Scroll down for the complete list of first and anytime goal scorer probabilities.

First Goal Scorer Probabilities

Tampa Bay Lightning

• Steven Stamkos: 8.6% probability
• Brayden Point: 6.9% probability
• Nikita Kucherov: 5.4% probability
• Brandon Hagel: 4.3% probability
• Alex Killorn: 3.9% probability

Dallas Stars

• Roope Hintz: 8.9% probability
• Jason Robertson: 6.0% probability
• Tyler Seguin: 5.5% probability
• Joe Pavelski: 5.1% probability
• Jamie Benn: 4.2% probability

Anytime Goal Scorer Probabilities

Tampa Bay Lightning

• Steven Stamkos: 39.5% probability
• Brayden Point: 34.7% probability
• Nikita Kucherov: 27.7% probability
• Brandon Hagel: 24.5% probability
• Alex Killorn: 19.4% probability

Dallas Stars

• Roope Hintz: 39.7% probability
• Jason Robertson: 29.0% probability
• Tyler Seguin: 27.0% probability
• Joe Pavelski: 25.0% probability
• Jamie Benn: 22.1% probability

Don't forget, DimersBOT updates regularly, so refresh this page for the latest betting insights before Lightning vs. Stars on Saturday February 11, 2023.

Lightning vs. Stars 2023 Game Info

Saturday's action between the Stars and Lightning at American Airlines Center is scheduled to begin at 1:00PM ET.

• Who: Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Dallas Stars
• Date: Saturday February 11, 2023
• Time: 1:00PM ET / 10:00AM PT
• Venue: American Airlines Center

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We use the power of predictive analytics to find value in the markets so we can write the best NHL betting previews out there. We're able to do this by comparing our own probabilities against the sportsbooks' odds (aka Vegas odds) as soon as they go live.

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