Aces vs. Mercury prediction: Phoenix predicted to win Friday's WNBA matchup [8/15/2025]

The Phoenix Mercury will face the Las Vegas Aces in WNBA action at PHX Arena on Friday, starting at 10:00PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced WNBA model predicts the Mercury as the most likely winner of today's game.

The Mercury, who have the likes of Kahleah Copper, Satou Sabally and Alyssa Thomas, will face off against the Aces, whose lineup includes A'ja Wilson, Jackie Young and Jewell Loyd.

For a closer look at Friday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Aces vs. Mercury predictions page.

Mercury vs. Aces prediction: Who will win, cover the spread?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's WNBA matchup between the Aces and Mercury 10,000 times as part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Mercury a 63% chance of beating the Aces.

According to our model, the Aces (+4.5) have a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 168.5 points has a 58% chance of staying under.

Aces vs. Mercury odds

We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Aces	Mercury
Spread	+4.5 (-110)	-4.5 (-105)
Moneyline	+160	-185
Total	o168.5 (-110)	u168.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Aces vs. Mercury picks and best bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Aces vs. Mercury matchup is on the spread.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the current odds, reveal the best WNBA picks and WNBA best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Aces vs. Mercury player props

Betting on Aces vs. Mercury WNBA prop bets? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at PHX Arena.

A'ja Wilson is expected to lead the Aces in scoring, while Kahleah Copper is projected to be the top scorer for the Mercury.

Dimers Pro users can access a full range of player props and projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every WNBA game this season.

Aces vs. Mercury game-day updates and essential details

Friday's game between the Mercury and Aces at PHX Arena is scheduled to begin at 10:00PM ET.

• Who: Las Vegas Aces vs. Phoenix Mercury
• Date: Friday, August 15, 2025
• Time: 10:00PM ET/7:00PM PT
• Venue: PHX Arena

Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Friday's Aces vs. Mercury matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Aces vs. Mercury picks, be sure to check out the latest WNBA predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Conclusion

We predict the Mercury, with a 63% win probability, will likely beat the Aces on Friday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Aces vs. Mercury insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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