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Aces vs. Liberty Prediction: New York Predicted to Win Saturday's WNBA Game [5/17/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Our expert prediction for Saturday's Las Vegas Aces vs New York Liberty matchup.
The New York Liberty will square off with the Las Vegas Aces in WNBA action at Barclays Center on Saturday, commencing at 1:00PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven WNBA model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Liberty as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Our team has used the latest data to run 10,000 simulations of Saturday's Las Vegas-New York game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.
"By incorporating recent updates and various other inputs, we estimate that the Liberty are more likely to win, while the Aces have a lower chance of victory."
The Liberty, with stars like Breanna Stewart, Sabrina Ionescu and Jonquel Jones, are set to take on the Aces, who feature A'ja Wilson, Jewell Loyd and Jackie Young.
For expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Aces vs. Liberty predictions page.
Liberty vs. Aces Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Spread?
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's WNBA matchup between the Aces and Liberty 10,000 times as part of our WNBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Liberty a 71% chance of beating the Aces.
According to our model, the Liberty (-3.5) have a 58% chance of covering the spread, while the 169-point over/under has a 53% chance of going over.
Aces vs. Liberty Odds
We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Aces | Liberty |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +3.5 (-110) | -3.5 (-105) |
| Moneyline | +140 | -164 |
| Total | o169 (-110) | u169 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
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Aces vs. Liberty Picks and Best Bets
Our model's strongest edge in today's Aces vs. Liberty matchup is on the moneyline.
Our expert predictions, aligned with the latest odds, reveal the best WNBA picks and WNBA best bets for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our complete set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Aces vs. Liberty Player Props
Looking for Las Vegas vs. New York WNBA player props? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Barclays Center.
A'ja Wilson is expected to lead the Aces with 23 points, 10 rebounds and 2 assists, while Breanna Stewart is projected to have 20 points, 9 rebounds and 3 assists for the Liberty.
Dimers Pro users can access a full range of player props and projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every WNBA game this season.
Aces vs. Liberty Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
Saturday's action between the Liberty and Aces at Barclays Center is scheduled to start at 1:00PM ET.
- Who: Las Vegas Aces vs. New York Liberty
- Date: Saturday, May 17, 2025
- Time: 1:00PM ET/10:00AM PT
- Venue: Barclays Center
Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Saturday's Aces vs. Liberty matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Las Vegas vs. New York picks, be sure to check out the latest WNBA predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
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Conclusion
We predict the Liberty, with a 71% win probability, will likely beat the Aces on Saturday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Aces vs. Liberty insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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More on WNBA
Keep up with the latest WNBA betting news and WNBA parlay picks throughout the season.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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