Aces vs. Sparks prediction: Las Vegas favored to win Thursday's WNBA matchup [9/11/2025]

The Los Angeles Sparks will square off with the favored Las Vegas Aces in WNBA action at Crypto.com Arena on Thursday, beginning at 10:00PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven WNBA model predicts the Aces as the most likely winner of today's game.

The Sparks, with stars such as Kelsey Plum, Dearica Hamby and Azura Stevens, will face off against the Aces, whose lineup includes A'ja Wilson, Jackie Young and Jewell Loyd.

For a closer look at Thursday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Aces vs. Sparks predictions page.

Sparks vs. Aces prediction: Who will win, cover the spread?

Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Thursday's WNBA game between the Aces and Sparks 10,000 times as part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives the Aces a 77% chance of defeating the Sparks.

According to our model, the Sparks (+10.5) have a 60% chance of covering the spread, while the 172.5-point over/under has a 58% chance of staying under.

Aces vs. Sparks odds

We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Aces	Sparks
Spread	-10.5 (-110)	+10.5 (-106)
Moneyline	-470	+400
Total	o172.5 (-110)	u172.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Aces vs. Sparks picks and best bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Aces vs. Sparks matchup is on the total.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the best odds, reveal the best WNBA picks and WNBA best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Aces vs. Sparks player props

Betting on Las Vegas vs. Los Angeles WNBA prop bets? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Crypto.com Arena.

A'ja Wilson is expected to lead the Aces in scoring, while Kelsey Plum is projected to be the top scorer for the Sparks.

Dimers Pro users can access a full range of player props and projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every WNBA game this season.

Aces vs. Sparks game-day updates and essential details

Thursday's matchup between the Sparks and Aces at Crypto.com Arena is scheduled to start at 10:00PM ET.

• Who: Las Vegas Aces vs. Los Angeles Sparks
• Date: Thursday, September 11, 2025
• Time: 10:00PM ET/7:00PM PT
• Venue: Crypto.com Arena

Dimers' in-depth preview of Thursday's Aces vs. Sparks matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Aces vs. Sparks picks, be sure to check out the latest WNBA predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

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Conclusion

We predict the Aces, with a 77% win probability, will likely beat the Sparks on Thursday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Aces vs. Sparks insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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