Aces vs. Fever prediction: Why Las Vegas is favored to win Game 4 [2025 WNBA Playoffs]

The Indiana Fever and Las Vegas Aces will lock horns in Game 4 of the WNBA Playoffs at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Sunday, starting at 3:00PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced WNBA model predicts the Aces as the most likely winner of Game 4.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Aces-Fever game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Aces with a win probability of 67%, while the Fever have 33%."

The Fever, who have the likes of Kelsey Mitchell, Aliyah Boston and Odyssey Sims, are set to take on the Aces, who feature A'ja Wilson, Jackie Young and Chelsea Gray.

Fever superstar Cailtin Clark will miss the game though, with the USBWNT guard set to be on the sidelines for this one.

For further insights into Sunday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Aces vs. Fever predictions page.

Fever vs. Aces prediction: Who will win Game 4?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's WNBA game between the Aces and Fever 10,000 times as part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Aces a 67% chance of defeating the Fever in Game 4 of the series.

According to our model, the Aces (-3) have a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 161 points has a 55% chance of going over.

Aces vs. Fever Game 4 odds

We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Aces	Fever
Spread	-3 (-110)	+3 (-105)
Moneyline	-160	+140
Total	o161 (-108)	u161 (-112)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Aces vs. Fever picks and best bets for Game 4

Our model's strongest edge in today's Aces vs. Fever matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, matched against the current odds, reveal the best WNBA picks and WNBA best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Aces vs. Fever Game 4 player props

Looking for Aces vs. Fever WNBA player props? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Gainbridge Fieldhouse.

A'ja Wilson is expected to lead the Aces in scoring, while Kelsey Mitchell is projected to be the top scorer for the Fever.

Dimers Pro users can access a full range of player props and projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every WNBA game this season.

Aces vs. Fever Game 4 updates and essential details

Sunday's Game 4 between the Fever and Aces at Gainbridge Fieldhouse is scheduled to commence at 3:00PM ET.

• Who: Las Vegas Aces vs. Indiana Fever
• Date: Sunday, September 28, 2025
• Time: 3:00PM ET/12:00PM PT
• Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse

Dimers' full preview of Sunday's Aces vs. Fever matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Aces vs. Fever picks, be sure to check out the latest WNBA predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Conclusion

We predict the Aces, with a 67% win probability, will likely beat the Fever on Sunday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Aces vs. Fever insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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