Royals vs. Phillies prediction: Why Philadelphia is favored to win Sunday's MLB matchup [9/14/2025]

The Philadelphia Phillies will take on the Kansas City Royals in MLB action at Citizens Bank Park on Sunday, beginning at 1:35PM ET.

Aaron Nola (4-8, 6.24 ERA) will be the starting pitcher for the Phillies, up against Noah Cameron (7-7, 3.00 ERA) for the Royals.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven MLB model predicts the Phillies as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Royals-Phillies game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Phillies with a win probability of 55%, while the Royals have 45%."

For expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Royals vs. Phillies predictions page.

Phillies vs. Royals prediction: Who will win, cover the run line?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's MLB game between the Royals and Phillies 10,000 times as part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Phillies a 55% chance of beating the Royals.

According to our model, the Royals (+1.5) have a 62% chance of covering the run line, while the 8.5-run over/under has a 54% chance of going over.

Royals vs. Phillies odds [9/14/2025]

We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Royals	Phillies
Run Line	+1.5 (-164)	-1.5 (+140)
Moneyline	+128	-150
Total	o8.5 (-114)	u8.5 (-102)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Royals vs. Phillies picks and best bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Royals vs. Phillies matchup is on the run line.

Our expert predictions, matched against the latest odds, reveal the best MLB picks and MLB best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Calling Our Shot's free MLB picks

Calling Our Shot produces daily MLB betting content, including the predictions featured below.

Royals vs. Phillies game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's MLB game between the Phillies and Royals at Citizens Bank Park is scheduled to start at 1:35PM ET.

• Who: Kansas City Royals vs. Philadelphia Phillies
• Date: Sunday, September 14, 2025
• Time: 1:35PM ET/10:35AM PT
• Venue: Citizens Bank Park

Dimers' in-depth preview of Sunday's Royals vs. Phillies matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Royals vs. Phillies picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

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Conclusion

We predict the Phillies, with a 55% win probability, will likely beat the Royals on Sunday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Royals vs. Phillies insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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