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Royals vs. Orioles Prediction: Baltimore Predicted to Win Sunday's MLB Matchup [5/4/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Our expert prediction for Sunday's Kansas City Royals vs Baltimore Orioles matchup.
The Baltimore Orioles will square off with the Kansas City Royals, in what is expected to be a close MLB game, at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Sunday, commencing at 1:35PM ET.
Kyle Gibson (0-1, 22.09 ERA) will start on the mound for the Orioles, up against Michael Lorenzen (3-3, 3.48 ERA) for the Royals.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced MLB model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Orioles as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Kansas City-Baltimore game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.
"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Orioles with a win probability of 54%, while the Royals have 46%."
For further insights into Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Royals vs. Orioles predictions page.
Orioles vs. Royals Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Run Line?
Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's MLB game between the Royals and Orioles 10,000 times as part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Orioles a 54% chance of beating the Royals.
According to our model, the Royals (+1.5) have a 63% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 9 runs has a 52% chance of going over.
Royals vs. Orioles Odds [5/4/2025]
We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Royals | Orioles |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | +1.5 (-176) | -1.5 (+155) |
| Moneyline | +120 | -135 |
| Total | o9 (-120) | u9 (+100) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
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Royals vs. Orioles Picks and Best Bets
Our model's strongest edge in today's Royals vs. Orioles matchup is on the moneyline.
Our expert predictions, matched against the best odds, reveal the best MLB picks and MLB best bets for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Calling Our Shot's Best Bets Video
Calling Our Shot produces daily MLB betting content, including the latest free picks featured below.
Royals vs. Orioles Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
Sunday's MLB action between the Orioles and Royals at Oriole Park at Camden Yards is scheduled to commence at 1:35PM ET.
- Who: Kansas City Royals vs. Baltimore Orioles
- Date: Sunday, May 4, 2025
- Time: 1:35PM ET/10:35AM PT
- Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Sunday's Royals vs. Orioles matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Kansas City vs. Baltimore picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Key MLB Betting Guides and Insights
- Explore how MLB odds work and dive into MLB live betting strategies
- Understand where sports odds come from and how they're applied to baseball matchups
- Learn how to use Dimers Futures to find long-term betting opportunities as the World Series draws closer
- Stay informed with where online sports betting is currently legal and which betting sites are safest to use
- Boost your success with strategies to win at sports betting and explore why MLB is one of the best leagues to bet on
Conclusion
We predict the Orioles, with a 54% win probability, will likely beat the Royals on Sunday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Royals vs. Orioles insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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More on MLB
Keep up with the latest MLB news and MLB parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our World Series odds offer the latest projections for the World Series, American League, National League and each division.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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