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Juarez vs. Toluca Prediction, Odds, Liga MX Picks [8/11/2025]

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Written by Ryan Leaver

Our expert prediction for Monday's Juarez vs Toluca matchup.

Juarez-Toluca Predictions and Game Preview.
Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez sets the stage for the Liga MX matchup between Juarez and Toluca this Monday.

Liga MX action continues on Monday at 11:00PM ET as Toluca squares off with Juarez at Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven Liga MX model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts Toluca as the most likely winner of today's game.

For a closer look at Monday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Juarez vs. Toluca predictions page.


Juarez vs. Toluca Prediction: Who Will Win?

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's Liga MX matchup between Juarez and Toluca 10,000 times as part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently suggests a 25.0% chance of Juarez winning, a 52.0% chance for Toluca, and a 23.0% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 58% chance of going over, according to our model.

 

Juarez vs. Toluca Odds

We have sourced the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

Juarez Toluca Draw
+270 -102 +260

Total Goals

Over 2.5 Under 2.5
-142 +116

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Make the most of your sports betting experience by exploring our comprehensive list of US betting apps, and the latest sportsbooks in 2025, ensuring you never miss a top new-user deal.

Juarez vs. Toluca Picks and Best Bets

Our model's strongest edge in today's Juarez vs. Toluca matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the current odds, reveal the best Liga MX picks and Liga MX best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Juarez vs. Toluca: Correct Score and BTTS Predictions

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

Final Score Probability
JUA 1-1 TOL 10.7%
JUA 1-2 TOL 9.7%
JUA 0-1 TOL 8.9%

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 58.4% chance that both Juarez and Toluca score, and a 41.6% probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.

These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations, meaning the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.

Juarez vs. Toluca Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Monday's action between Juarez and Toluca at Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez is scheduled to commence at 11:00PM ET.

  • Who: Juarez vs. Toluca
  • Date: Monday, August 11, 2025
  • Time: 11:00PM ET/8:00PM PT
  • Venue: Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez

Dimers.com's full preview of Monday's Juarez vs. Toluca matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Toluca vs. Juarez picks, be sure to check out the latest Liga MX predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Juarez has a 25.0% win probability on Monday, Toluca has a 52.0% win probability, and there is a 23.0% chance that the game will end in a draw.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Juarez vs. Toluca insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on Liga MX

Stay up-to-date with the latest Liga MX betting news and parlay picks throughout the season.

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Written by
Ryan Leaver
Senior Sports and Betting Editor

Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.

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