Jordan Thompson vs. Corentin Moutet prediction, odds, picks for US Open 2025

Jordan Thompson and Corentin Moutet will lock horns in the first round of the US Open 2025 on Sunday.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven tennis model projects Corentin Moutet as the most likely winner of the match.

"Using the most recent data, we ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Thompson-Moutet match," said Dimers data analyst Greg Butyn.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows Corentin Moutet with a win probability of 72%, while Jordan Thompson has 28%."

For a closer look at Sunday's match, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Thompson vs. Moutet predictions page.

Thompson vs. Moutet prediction: Who will win and advance to the Second Round?

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's Thompson-Moutet men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives Moutet a 72% chance of winning against Thompson in the US Open 2025.

Additionally, Moutet has a 66% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Thompson (+5.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the over 35.5 games has a 52% chance of hitting, according to our model.

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Jordan Thompson vs. Corentin Moutet odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Thompson	Moutet
Moneyline	+235	-278
First Set	+150	-189
Game Spread	-5.5 (-120)	+5.5 (-110)
Total Games	o35.5 (-112)	u35.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Thompson vs. Moutet picks and best bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Thompson vs. Moutet match is on the first set.

Our expert predictions, matched against the current odds, reveal the best tennis picks and tennis best bets for every match throughout the year.

Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Thompson vs. Moutet updates and essential details

The US Open 2025 match between Jordan Thompson and Corentin Moutet is scheduled to commence on Sunday at 5:05PM ET.

• Who: Jordan Thompson vs. Corentin Moutet
• Date: Sunday, August 24, 2025
• Approx. Time: 5:05PM ET/2:05PM PT
• Tournament: US Open Men's Singles 2025
• Round: First round

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Sunday's Thompson vs. Moutet match includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Jordan Thompson vs. Corentin Moutet picks, be sure to check out the latest tennis predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Key tennis betting guides and insights

• Learn how to bet on tennis and understand how tennis odds work
• Explore where sports odds come from and how they’re applied to tennis matches
• Stay informed with guides on where online sports betting is currently legal and which states could legalize next
• Improve your chances with proven sports betting strategies that apply to tennis and more

Conclusion

We predict Corentin Moutet, with a 72% win probability, will likely beat Jordan Thompson at the US Open 2025.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Thompson vs. Moutet insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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