Jets vs. Patriots Week 11 Prediction and Odds - Nov 20, 2022

The New England Patriots face the New York Jets in NFL Week 11 action at Gillette Stadium on Sunday, starting at 1:00PM ET.

Dimers' top betting picks for Jets vs. Patriots, plus our score prediction, betting odds and touchdown scorer probabilities, are detailed in this article.

Who will win Jets vs. Patriots?

Based on trusted machine learning and data, Dimers.com has simulated Sunday's Jets-Patriots NFL game 10,000 times.

Dimers' independent predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, gives the Patriots a 65% chance of getting the W against the Jets in Week 11 of the NFL season.

More: Jets vs. Patriots Simulated 10,000 Times

Jets vs. Patriots Odds

• Spread: Patriots -3.5 (-105), Jets +3.5 (-115)
• Moneyline: Patriots -170, Jets +154
• Total: Over/Under 38.5 (-106/-114)

Point Spread, Moneyline and Over/Under

The Patriots are currently -3.5 favorites versus the Jets, with -105 at BetMGM the best odds currently available.

For the underdog Jets (+3.5) to cover the spread, Caesars Sportsbook has the best odds currently on offer at -115.

PointsBet currently has the best moneyline odds for the Patriots at -170. That means you can risk $170 to win $100, for a total payout of $270, if they get the W.

Elsewhere, FanDuel Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Jets at +154, where you can bet $100 to profit $154, earning a total payout of $254, if they win.

The Over/Under sits at 38.5 with FanDuel Sportsbook, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -106, as well as the best odds for the Under at -114.

As always, make sure you check all of the sportsbooks available in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the bookmakers have got it right and both the Jets and Patriots are a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the 38.5-point Over/Under is a 53% chance of going Over.

More: Track Your Bets via Dimers' Bet Center

Best Bets for Jets vs. Patriots

• Spread: Patriots -3.5 @ -105 via BetMGM (50% probability)
• Moneyline: Patriots @ -170 via PointsBet (65% probability)
• Total: Over 38.5 @ -106 via FanDuel Sportsbook (53% probability)

Dimers' best bets are based on world-class simulations and gambling expertise to serve you the best possible plays every time.

Jets vs. Patriots Prediction

Dimers.com's predicted final score for NY Jets vs. New England at Gillette Stadium in Week 11 has the Patriots prevailing 21-18.

Click or tap on See Matchup for more.

Dimers has full betting coverage of this week's Jets-Patriots matchup in Week 11, including pregame predictions, best betting picks, and live win probabilities.

Jets vs. Patriots Player Props

Who will score an anytime touchdown in Jets vs. Patriots? The data is in.

Featured below are the most likely first touchdown and most likely anytime touchdown scorers for both the Jets and Patriots, as well as player stat projections.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you select the best prop bets for Sunday's game.

According to DimersBOT, New England's Rhamondre Stevenson is most likely to score the first TD in Jets vs. Patriots.

DimersBOT gives Stevenson an 11.6% chance of scoring the first TD at Gillette Stadium, while the Patriots RB is a 42.0% chance of reaching the end zone at any point during the game.

Scroll down for the complete list of first and anytime TD scorer probabilities.

First Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

New York Jets

• Michael Carter: 7.8% probability
• Garrett Wilson: 6.9% probability
• James Robinson: 6.2% probability
• Tyler Conklin: 5.7% probability
• Zach Wilson: 4.4% probability

New England Patriots

• Rhamondre Stevenson: 11.6% probability
• Damien Harris: 8.4% probability
• Jakobi Meyers: 6.5% probability
• Hunter Henry: 6.0% probability
• DeVante Parker: 5.5% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

New York Jets

• Michael Carter: 29.9% probability
• Garrett Wilson: 26.3% probability
• James Robinson: 24.7% probability
• Tyler Conklin: 21.8% probability
• Zach Wilson: 18.0% probability

New England Patriots

• Rhamondre Stevenson: 42.0% probability
• Damien Harris: 32.0% probability
• Jakobi Meyers: 25.6% probability
• Hunter Henry: 24.5% probability
• DeVante Parker: 21.3% probability

Jets-Patriots Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Jets' Zach Wilson is projected for 202 passing yards, while the Patriots' Mac Jones is expected to throw for 208 yards.

Jets Starting QB

• Zach Wilson: 202 projected yards

Patriots Starting QB

• Mac Jones: 208 projected yards

Jets Rushing

• Michael Carter: 47 projected yards
• James Robinson: 44 projected yards
• Zach Wilson: 18 projected yards

Patriots Rushing

• Rhamondre Stevenson: 58 projected yards
• Damien Harris: 48 projected yards
• Mac Jones: 11 projected yards

Jets Receiving

• Garrett Wilson: 54 projected yards
• Tyler Conklin: 31 projected yards
• Denzel Mims: 30 projected yards
• Elijah Moore: 27 projected yards
• Michael Carter: 21 projected yards

Patriots Receiving

• Jakobi Meyers: 47 projected yards
• DeVante Parker: 37 projected yards
• Hunter Henry: 32 projected yards
• Tyquan Thornton: 30 projected yards
• Jonnu Smith: 29 projected yards

Don't forget, DimersBOT updates regularly, so refresh this article for the latest betting analysis before Jets vs. Patriots on Sunday November 20, 2022.

Jets vs. Patriots 2022

The NFL Week 11 action between the Patriots and Jets at Gillette Stadium is scheduled to start at 1:00PM ET.

• Who: New York Jets vs. New England Patriots
• Date: Sunday November 20, 2022
• Time: 1:00PM ET / 10:00AM PT
• Venue: Gillette Stadium

Want to join an online sportsbook and start betting on the NFL today? We've listed the best available sign-up offers in every legal betting state.

Want more NFL previews like this?

To get more NFL betting previews like you've just read for Jets vs. Patriots, all you've gotta do is visit our NFL Betting News section. It's that easy – they're all there!

We use the power of predictive analytics to find edges in the markets so we can produce the most comprehensive NFL betting previews available. We do this by comparing our own probabilities against the sportsbooks' odds (aka Vegas odds) as soon as they go live.

So, get ahead of the game and beat the bookies today – it's only a click away.