Jannik Sinner vs. Carlos Alcaraz prediction, odds, picks for US Open 2025

Jannik Sinner will face Carlos Alcaraz in the final of the US Open Men's Singles 2025 on Sunday.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced tennis model predicts Jannik Sinner as the most likely winner of the match.

"Using the most recent data, we ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Sinner-Alcaraz match," said Dimers data analyst Greg Butyn.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows Jannik Sinner with a win probability of 55%, while Carlos Alcaraz has 45%."

For a closer look at Sunday's match, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Sinner vs. Alcaraz predictions page.

Sinner vs. Alcaraz prediction: Who will win the final?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's Sinner-Alcaraz men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives Sinner a 55% chance of winning against Alcaraz in the US Open 2025.

Additionally, Sinner has a 56% chance of winning the first set, while the under 42.5 games has a 64% chance of hitting, according to our model.

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Jannik Sinner vs. Carlos Alcaraz odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Sinner	Alcaraz
Moneyline	-130	+115
First Set	-125	+100
Total Games	o42.5 (-110)	u42.5 (-130)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Sinner vs. Alcaraz picks and best bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Sinner vs. Alcaraz match is on the first set.

Our expert predictions, matched against the latest odds, reveal the best tennis picks and tennis best bets for every match throughout the year.

Unlimited access to our complete set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Sinner vs. Alcaraz updates and essential details

The US Open 2025 match between Jannik Sinner and Carlos Alcaraz is scheduled to begin on Sunday at 2:30PM ET.

• Who: Jannik Sinner vs. Carlos Alcaraz
• Date: Sunday, September 7, 2025
• Approx. Time: 2:30PM ET/11:30AM PT
• Tournament: US Open Men's Singles 2025
• Round: Final

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Sunday's Sinner vs. Alcaraz match includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Jannik Sinner vs. Carlos Alcaraz picks, be sure to check out the latest tennis predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Key tennis betting guides and insights

• Learn how to bet on tennis and understand how tennis odds work
• Explore where sports odds come from and how they’re applied to tennis matches
• Stay informed with guides on where online sports betting is currently legal and which states could legalize next
• Improve your chances with proven sports betting strategies that apply to tennis and more

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Conclusion

We predict Jannik Sinner, with a 55% win probability, will likely beat Carlos Alcaraz at the US Open 2025.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Sinner vs. Alcaraz insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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