Jakub Mensik vs. Nicolas Jarry prediction, odds, picks for US Open 2025

Jakub Mensik will take on Nicolas Jarry in the first round of the US Open Men's Singles 2025 on Sunday.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced tennis model projects Jakub Mensik as the most likely winner of the match.

"Using the most recent data, we ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Mensik-Jarry match," said Dimers data analyst Greg Butyn.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows Jakub Mensik with a win probability of 74%, while Nicolas Jarry has 26%."

For a closer look at Sunday's match, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Mensik vs. Jarry predictions page.

Mensik vs. Jarry prediction: Who will win and advance to the Second Round?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's Mensik-Jarry men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives Mensik a 74% chance of defeating Jarry in the US Open 2025.

Additionally, Mensik has a 69% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Mensik (-4.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 40.5 games has a 61% chance of hitting, according to our model.

For more insights into the growing popularity of betting on the sport, check out our comprehensive analysis of tennis' rise in the U.S. sports betting market.

Jakub Mensik vs. Nicolas Jarry odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Mensik	Jarry
Moneyline	-250	+225
First Set	-189	+150
Game Spread	+4.5 (-126)	-4.5 (-108)
Total Games	o40.5 (-110)	u40.5 (-120)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Make the most of your sports betting experience by exploring our comprehensive list of US betting apps, and the latest sportsbooks in 2025, ensuring you never miss a top new-user deal.

Mensik vs. Jarry picks and best bets

Our model's strongest edge in today's Mensik vs. Jarry match is on the first set.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the best odds, reveal the best tennis picks and tennis best bets for every tournament throughout the year.

Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Mensik vs. Jarry updates and essential details

The US Open 2025 match between Jakub Mensik and Nicolas Jarry is scheduled to begin on Sunday at 11:00AM ET.

• Who: Jakub Mensik vs. Nicolas Jarry
• Date: Sunday, August 24, 2025
• Approx. Time: 11:00AM ET/8:00AM PT
• Tournament: US Open Men's Singles 2025
• Round: First round

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Sunday's Mensik vs. Jarry match includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Jakub Mensik vs. Nicolas Jarry picks, be sure to check out the latest tennis predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Key tennis betting guides and insights

• Learn how to bet on tennis and understand how tennis odds work
• Explore where sports odds come from and how they’re applied to tennis matches
• Stay informed with guides on where online sports betting is currently legal and which states could legalize next
• Improve your chances with proven sports betting strategies that apply to tennis and more

Conclusion

We predict Jakub Mensik, with a 74% win probability, will likely beat Nicolas Jarry at the US Open 2025.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Mensik vs. Jarry insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on Tennis

Stay up-to-date with the latest tennis news and parlay picks throughout the year. Plus, Dimers' ATP and WTA world rankings showcase our in-house approach to accurately ranking every men's and women's player in the world.