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Jaguars vs. Commanders Week 1 Prediction and Odds - Sep 11, 2022

The Washington Commanders and Jacksonville Jaguars lock horns in Week 1 of the NFL season at FedExField on Sunday, starting at 1:00PM ET.
Dimers' free betting picks for Jaguars vs. Commanders, plus our score prediction, betting odds and touchdown scorer probabilities, are featured below.
This Jacksonville vs. Washington betting analysis is presented by FanDuel Sportsbook, which has a great Bet $5, Get $150 offer for new customers.
Who will win Jaguars vs. Commanders?
Based on cutting-edge computer power and data, Dimers.com has simulated Sunday's Jaguars-Commanders NFL game 10,000 times.
Dimers' popular predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, currently gives the Commanders a 60% chance of getting the W against the Jaguars in Week 1 of the NFL season.
More: Jaguars vs. Commanders Simulated 10K Times
Jaguars vs. Commanders Odds
- Spread: Commanders -3 (-105), Jaguars +3 (-110)
- Moneyline: Commanders -145, Jaguars +135
- Total: Over/Under 43 (-110/-110)
Point Spread, Moneyline and Over/Under
The Commanders are listed as -3 favorites against the Jaguars, with -105 at PointsBet the best odds currently available.
For the underdog Jaguars (+3) to cover the spread, Caesars Sportsbook has the best odds currently on the market at -110.
DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Commanders at -145, which means you can risk $145 to win $100, for a total payout of $245, if they get the W.
Meanwhile, Caesars Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Jaguars at +135, where you can put down $100 to profit $135, earning a total payout of $235, if they win.
The Over/Under for total points scored is set at 43 with Caesars Sportsbook, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -110, as well as the best odds for the Under at -110.
As always, check out the sportsbooks you have access to in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.
According to DimersBOT, the Jaguars (+3) are a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the 43-point Over/Under is a 52% chance of going Over.
More: Predictions for Every NFL Week 1 Matchup
Best Bets for Jaguars vs. Commanders
- Spread: Jaguars +3 @ -110 via Caesars Sportsbook (56% probability) 🔥
- Moneyline: Commanders @ -145 via DraftKings Sportsbook (60% probability)
- Total: Over 43 @ -110 via Caesars Sportsbook (52% probability)
Any time you see a 🔥, you know you've found one of Dimers' best bets of the day across all sports.
Dimers' best bets are based on detailed modeling and wagering expertise to bring you the best possible plays every time.
Jaguars vs. Commanders Prediction
Dimers.com's predicted final score for Jacksonville vs. Washington at FedExField in Week 1 has the Commanders winning 22-20.
Click or tap on See Matchup to reveal more.
Dimers has full betting coverage of this week's Jaguars-Commanders matchup in Week 1, including pregame predictions, top betting picks, and live win probabilities.
Jaguars vs. Commanders Player Props
Who will score an anytime touchdown in Jaguars vs. Commanders? The data is in.
Featured below are the most likely first touchdown and most likely anytime touchdown scorers for both the Jaguars and Commanders, as well as player stat projections.
And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you discover the best prop picks for Sunday's game.
According to DimersBOT, Washington's Antonio Gibson is most likely to score the first TD in Jaguars vs. Commanders.
DimersBOT gives Gibson an 11.4% chance of getting in for six first at FedExField, while the Commanders RB is a 46.4% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for our full list of first and anytime TD scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Probabilities
Jacksonville Jaguars
- Travis Etienne: 8.5% probability
- Christian Kirk: 7.1% probability
- Trevor Lawrence: 6.4% probability
- James Robinson: 5.9% probability
- Marvin Jones: 5.7% probability
Washington Commanders
- Antonio Gibson: 11.4% probability
- Terry McLaurin: 9.1% probability
- Jahan Dotson: 5.9% probability
- J.D. McKissic: 5.6% probability
- Logan Thomas: 5.1% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Probabilities
Jacksonville Jaguars
- Travis Etienne: 37.0% probability
- Christian Kirk: 32.2% probability
- Trevor Lawrence: 28.7% probability
- Marvin Jones: 26.6% probability
- James Robinson: 25.4% probability
Washington Commanders
- Antonio Gibson: 46.4% probability
- Terry McLaurin: 37.7% probability
- Jahan Dotson: 27.4% probability
- J.D. McKissic: 25.5% probability
- Logan Thomas: 23.5% probability
Jaguars-Commanders Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Jaguars' Trevor Lawrence is projected for 258 passing yards, while the Commanders' Carson Wentz is expected to throw for 255 yards.
Jaguars Starting QB
- Trevor Lawrence: 258 projected yards
Commanders Starting QB
- Carson Wentz: 255 projected yards
Jaguars Rushing
- Travis Etienne: 60 projected yards
- James Robinson: 33 projected yards
- Trevor Lawrence: 26 projected yards
Commanders Rushing
- Antonio Gibson: 51 projected yards
- J.D. McKissic: 23 projected yards
- Jonathan Williams: 16 projected yards
Jaguars Receiving
- Christian Kirk: 66 projected yards
- Marvin Jones: 43 projected yards
- Evan Engram: 29 projected yards
- Zay Jones: 28 projected yards
- Travis Etienne: 28 projected yards
Commanders Receiving
- Terry McLaurin: 71 projected yards
- Curtis Samuel: 44 projected yards
- Jahan Dotson: 42 projected yards
- Logan Thomas: 29 projected yards
- John Bates: 28 projected yards
Don't forget, DimersBOT updates regularly, so keep checking this article for any changes to our betting analysis before Jaguars vs. Commanders on Sunday September 11, 2022.
Jaguars vs. Commanders 2022
The NFL Week 1 game between the Commanders and Jaguars at FedExField is scheduled to start at 1:00PM ET.
- Who: Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Washington Commanders
- Date: Sunday September 11, 2022
- Time: 1:00PM ET / 10:00AM PT
- Venue: FedExField
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