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Jaguars vs. Texans Week 17 Prediction and Odds - Jan 1, 2023

The Houston Texans square off with the Jacksonville Jaguars in NFL Week 17 action at NRG Stadium on New Year's Day, beginning at 1:00PM ET.
Dimers' best betting picks for Jaguars vs. Texans, as well as game predictions, betting odds and touchdown scorer probabilities, are featured below.
Who will win Jaguars vs. Texans?
Based on state-of-the-art machine learning and data, Dimers.com has simulated Sunday's Jaguars-Texans NFL matchup 10,000 times.
Dimers' leading predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, currently gives the Jaguars a 68% chance of defeating the Texans in Week 17 of the NFL season.
More: Jaguars vs. Texans Simulated 10,000 Times
Jaguars vs. Texans Current Odds
- Spread: Texans +3.5 (-110), Jaguars -3.5 (-105)
- Moneyline: Texans +160, Jaguars -180
- Total: Over/Under 43 (-110/-110)
Point Spread, Moneyline and Over/Under
The Texans are listed as +3.5 underdogs against the Jaguars, with -110 at Caesars Sportsbook the best odds currently available.
For the favored Jaguars (-3.5) to cover the spread, PointsBet has the best odds currently on offer at -105.
FanDuel Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Texans at +160, which means you can bet $100 to profit $160, earning a total payout of $260, if they win.
Elsewhere, DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Jaguars at -180, where you can risk $180 to win $100, for a total payout of $280, if they come out on top.
The Over/Under sits at 43 with PointsBet, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -110, as well as the best odds for the Under at -110.
As always, check out all of the legal sportbooks available in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.
According to DimersBOT, the Jaguars (-3.5) are a 59% chance of covering the spread, while the Over/Under total of 43 points is a 54% chance of going Over.
More: Track Your Bets via Dimers' Bet Center
Best Bets for Jaguars vs. Texans
- Spread: Jaguars -3.5 @ -105 via PointsBet (59% probability) 🔥
- Moneyline: Jaguars @ -180 via DraftKings Sportsbook (68% probability)
- Total: Over 43 @ -110 via PointsBet (54% probability)
Every time you see a 🔥, that means it's one of Dimers' best bets of the day across all major pro and college sports.
Dimers' best bets are based on complex modeling and gambling expertise to bring you the best possible plays 24/7/365.
Jaguars vs. Texans Prediction
Dimers.com's predicted final score for Jacksonville vs. Houston at NRG Stadium in Week 17 has the Jaguars winning 24-19.
Click or tap on See Matchup for more.
Dimers has full coverage of this week's Jaguars-Texans matchup in Week 17, including pregame predictions, top betting picks, and live win probabilities.
Jaguars vs. Texans Player Props
Who will score an anytime touchdown in Jaguars vs. Texans? The data is in.
Featured below are the most likely first touchdown and most likely anytime touchdown scorers for both the Jaguars and Texans, as well as player stat projections.
And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you select the best prop picks for Sunday's game.
According to DimersBOT, Jacksonville's Travis Etienne is most likely to score the first touchdown in Jaguars vs. Texans.
DimersBOT gives Etienne a 12.3% chance of scoring the first TD at NRG Stadium, while the Jaguars RB is a 47.5% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for our full list of first and anytime TD scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Probabilities
Jacksonville Jaguars
- Travis Etienne: 12.3% probability
- Christian Kirk: 9.6% probability
- Zay Jones: 8.1% probability
- Evan Engram: 7.4% probability
- Trevor Lawrence: 5.0% probability
Houston Texans
- Royce Freeman: 7.8% probability
- Dare Ogunbowale: 7.1% probability
- Brandin Cooks: 5.8% probability
- Chris Moore: 5.6% probability
- Jordan Akins: 4.6% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Probabilities
Jacksonville Jaguars
- Travis Etienne: 47.5% probability
- Christian Kirk: 38.4% probability
- Zay Jones: 34.8% probability
- Evan Engram: 31.6% probability
- Trevor Lawrence: 22.5% probability
Houston Texans
- Royce Freeman: 33.2% probability
- Dare Ogunbowale: 30.3% probability
- Brandin Cooks: 26.6% probability
- Chris Moore: 25.1% probability
- Jordan Akins: 22.0% probability
Jaguars-Texans Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Jaguars' Trevor Lawrence is projected to have a big game with 262 passing yards. The Texans' Davis Mills is expected to throw for 198 yards.
Jaguars Starting QB
- Trevor Lawrence: 262 projected yards
Texans Starting QB
- Davis Mills: 198 projected yards
Jaguars Rushing
- Travis Etienne: 85 projected yards
- Trevor Lawrence: 15 projected yards
- JaMycal Hasty: 12 projected yards
Texans Rushing
- Royce Freeman: 50 projected yards
- Dare Ogunbowale: 28 projected yards
- Jeff Driskel: 25 projected yards
Jaguars Receiving
- Zay Jones: 57 projected yards
- Evan Engram: 50 projected yards
- Christian Kirk: 42 projected yards
- Marvin Jones: 27 projected yards
- Travis Etienne: 24 projected yards
Texans Receiving
- Brandin Cooks: 56 projected yards
- Chris Moore: 45 projected yards
- Jordan Akins: 37 projected yards
- Rex Burkhead: 17 projected yards
- Phillip Dorsett: 15 projected yards
Don't forget, DimersBOT updates frequently, so keep an eye on this article for the latest betting insights before Jaguars vs. Texans on Sunday January 1, 2023.
Jaguars vs. Texans 2023
The NFL Week 17 action between the Texans and Jaguars at NRG Stadium is scheduled to commence at 1:00PM ET.
- Who: Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Houston Texans
- Date: Sunday January 1, 2023
- Time: 1:00PM ET / 10:00AM PT
- Venue: NRG Stadium
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