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Jaguars vs. Chiefs Week 10 Prediction and Odds - Nov 13, 2022

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Written by Dimers Data
Jaguars vs. Chiefs Week 10 Prediction and Odds - Nov 13, 2022

The Kansas City Chiefs and Jacksonville Jaguars are scheduled to meet in Week 10 of the NFL season at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium on Sunday, with kickoff at 1:00PM ET.

Dimers' free betting picks for Jaguars vs. Chiefs, plus game predictions, betting odds and touchdown scorer probabilities, are detailed below.

 

Who will win Jaguars vs. Chiefs?

Using state-of-the-art machine learning and data, Dimers.com has simulated Sunday's Jaguars-Chiefs NFL game 10,000 times.

Dimers' famous predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, gives the Chiefs a 79% chance of defeating the Jaguars in Week 10 of the NFL season.

More: Jaguars vs. Chiefs Simulated 10,000 Times

Jaguars vs. Chiefs Game Odds

  • Spread: Chiefs -9.5 (-110), Jaguars +9.5 (-105)
  • Moneyline: Chiefs -425, Jaguars +380
  • Total: Over/Under 51.5 (-107/-107)

Point Spread, Moneyline and Over/Under

The Chiefs are listed as -9.5 favorites against the Jaguars, with -110 at Caesars Sportsbook the best odds currently available.

For the underdog Jaguars (+9.5) to cover the spread, PointsBet has the best odds currently on the market at -105.

PointsBet currently has the best moneyline odds for the Chiefs at -425. That means you can risk $425 to win $100, for a total payout of $525, if they get the W.

Elsewhere, FanDuel Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Jaguars at +380, where you can put down $100 to profit $380, earning a total payout of $480, if they win.

The Over/Under is set at 51.5 with PointsBet, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -107, as well as the best odds for the Under at -107.

As always, make sure you check all the sportsbooks available in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the bookmakers have got it right and both the Jaguars and Chiefs are a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the Over/Under total of 51.5 points is also considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

More: Best Free Bet Tracker

Best Bets for Jaguars vs. Chiefs

 

Dimers' best bets are based on complex modeling and wagering intelligence to serve you the best possible plays 24/7.

While the Chiefs are more likely to win the game, according to DimersBOT, betting on the Jaguars moneyline is the best option due to the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the betting odds currently on offer.

Taking advantage of the edges published here at Dimers is one of the keys to being a profitable sports bettor in the long run.

Jaguars vs. Chiefs Prediction

Dimers.com's predicted final score for Jacksonville vs. Kansas City at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in Week 10 has the Chiefs prevailing 30-21.

Click or tap on See Matchup for more.

 

Dimers has full betting coverage of this week's Jaguars-Chiefs matchup in Week 10, including pregame predictions, best betting picks, and live updates.

Jaguars vs. Chiefs Player Props

Who will score an anytime touchdown in Jaguars vs. Chiefs? The latest data is in.

Featured below are the most likely first touchdown and most likely anytime touchdown scorers for both the Jaguars and Chiefs, as well as player stat projections.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you choose the best prop bets for Sunday's game.

According to DimersBOT, Kansas City's Travis Kelce is most likely to score the first touchdown in Jaguars vs. Chiefs.

DimersBOT gives Kelce a 12.5% chance of scoring the first TD at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, while the Chiefs TE is a 54.1% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

Scroll down for the complete list of first and anytime TD scorer probabilities.

 

First Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Jacksonville Jaguars

  • Travis Etienne: 12.5% probability
  • Christian Kirk: 6.0% probability
  • Marvin Jones: 4.3% probability
  • Evan Engram: 4.2% probability
  • JaMycal Hasty: 4.1% probability

Kansas City Chiefs

  • Travis Kelce: 12.5% probability
  • Clyde Edwards-Helaire: 7.8% probability
  • JuJu Smith-Schuster: 7.0% probability
  • Marquez Valdes-Scantling: 6.6% probability
  • Patrick Mahomes: 5.6% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Jacksonville Jaguars

  • Travis Etienne: 55.2% probability
  • Christian Kirk: 32.6% probability
  • Evan Engram: 23.1% probability
  • Marvin Jones: 22.0% probability
  • JaMycal Hasty: 21.4% probability

Kansas City Chiefs

  • Travis Kelce: 54.1% probability
  • Clyde Edwards-Helaire: 38.3% probability
  • JuJu Smith-Schuster: 36.0% probability
  • Marquez Valdes-Scantling: 33.9% probability
  • Patrick Mahomes: 28.0% probability

Jaguars-Chiefs Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Jaguars' Trevor Lawrence is projected to have a big game with 268 passing yards, while the Chiefs' Patrick Mahomes is expected to throw for a whopping 290 yards.

Jaguars Starting QB

  • Trevor Lawrence: 268 projected yards

Chiefs Starting QB

  • Patrick Mahomes: 290 projected yards

Jaguars Rushing

  • Travis Etienne: 88 projected yards
  • JaMycal Hasty: 17 projected yards
  • Trevor Lawrence: 14 projected yards

Chiefs Rushing

  • Clyde Edwards-Helaire: 39 projected yards
  • Isiah Pacheco: 23 projected yards
  • Patrick Mahomes: 23 projected yards

Jaguars Receiving

  • Christian Kirk: 68 projected yards
  • Zay Jones: 43 projected yards
  • Marvin Jones: 42 projected yards
  • Evan Engram: 36 projected yards
  • Travis Etienne: 25 projected yards

Chiefs Receiving

  • Travis Kelce: 92 projected yards
  • JuJu Smith-Schuster: 63 projected yards
  • Marquez Valdes-Scantling: 40 projected yards
  • Kadarius Toney: 30 projected yards
  • Skyy Moore: 27 projected yards

Remember, DimersBOT updates frequently, so keep an eye on this page for any changes to our betting insights ahead of Jaguars vs. Chiefs on Sunday November 13, 2022.

 

Jaguars vs. Chiefs 2022

The NFL Week 10 action between the Chiefs and Jaguars at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium is scheduled to commence at 1:00PM ET.

  • Who: Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Kansas City Chiefs
  • Date: Sunday November 13, 2022
  • Time: 1:00PM ET / 10:00AM PT
  • Venue: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium

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What other NFL games are on today?

Now you've got the 411 on Jaguars vs. Chiefs, get the latest betting analysis for all upcoming NFL games in our NFL Bet Hub, where you can find probabilities and odds, as well as our best bets for every single NFL matchup.

Want a pick for the Spread? You got it. How about the Over/Under? Yup, got that too. The Moneyline? Yes sir. And these picks are good, I mean REALLY good. Take a look now!

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Dimers Data

Dimers Data delivers cold-blooded analysis straight from thousands of simulations run by predictive models built by our in-house team of data scientists and analysts. No hunches. No guesswork. Just pure, data-led insight serious bettors rely on to stay ahead.

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