Jaguars vs. Chiefs Prediction and Odds - Jan 21, 2023

The Kansas City Chiefs take on the Jacksonville Jaguars in the Divisional Round of the NFL Playoffs at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium on Saturday, beginning at 4:30PM ET.

Dimers' free betting picks for Jaguars vs. Chiefs, as well as our score prediction, betting odds and touchdown scorer probabilities, are detailed below.

Who will win Jaguars vs. Chiefs?

Based on advanced computer power and data, Dimers.com has simulated Saturday's Jaguars-Chiefs NFL matchup 10,000 times.

Dimers' independent predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, currently gives the Chiefs a 79% chance of beating the Jaguars.

More: Jaguars vs. Chiefs Simulated 10K Times

Jaguars vs. Chiefs Current Odds

• Spread: Chiefs -9.5 (-110), Jaguars +9.5 (-108)
• Moneyline: Chiefs -500, Jaguars +400
• Total: Over/Under 52 (-110/-110)

Point Spread, Moneyline and Over/Under

The Chiefs are -9.5 favorites against the Jaguars, with -110 at PointsBet the best odds currently available.

For the underdog Jaguars (+9.5) to cover the spread, FanDuel Sportsbook has the best odds currently on offer at -108.

BetMGM currently has the best moneyline odds for the Chiefs at -500. That means you can risk $500 to win $100, for a total payout of $600, if they get the W.

Meanwhile, DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Jaguars at +400, where you can bet $100 to profit $400, earning a total payout of $500, if they win.

The Over/Under is set at 52 with PointsBet, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -110, as well as the best odds for the Under at -110.

As always, check out the sportsbooks you can bet with in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the bookmakers have got it right and both the Jaguars and Chiefs are a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the 52-point Over/Under is a 54% chance of going Under.

More: Predictions for Every NFL Game

Best Bets for Jaguars vs. Chiefs

• Spread: Jaguars +9.5 @ -108 via FanDuel Sportsbook (50% probability)
• Moneyline: Jaguars @ +400 via DraftKings Sportsbook (0.8% edge)
• Total: Under 52 @ -110 via PointsBet (54% probability)

Our best bets are based on world-class simulations and wagering intelligence to help you make more informed investments with your state's legal sportsbooks.

While the Chiefs are more likely to win the game, according to DimersBOT, taking the Jaguars moneyline is the best option due to the edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the sportsbooks' odds currently on offer.

Taking advantage of the edges seen on Dimers is pivotal to being profitable in the long run.

Jaguars vs. Chiefs Prediction

Dimers.com's predicted final score for Jacksonville vs. Kansas City at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium on Saturday has the Chiefs winning 30-20.

Click or tap on See Matchup for more.

Dimers has full betting coverage of this week's Jaguars-Chiefs matchup, including pregame predictions, free betting picks, and live scores.

Jaguars vs. Chiefs Player Props

Who will score an anytime touchdown in Jaguars vs. Chiefs? The data is in.

Featured below are the most likely first touchdown and most likely anytime touchdown scorers for both the Jaguars and Chiefs, as well as player stat projections.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you discover the best prop picks for Saturday's game.

According to DimersBOT, Kansas City's Travis Kelce is most likely to score the first TD in Jaguars vs. Chiefs.

DimersBOT gives Kelce a 13.3% chance of getting in for six first at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, while the Chiefs TE is a 58.2% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

Scroll down for our full list of first and anytime TD scorer probabilities.

First Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Jacksonville Jaguars

• Travis Etienne: 9.6% probability
• Christian Kirk: 7.0% probability
• Zay Jones: 5.4% probability
• Trevor Lawrence: 5.4% probability
• Evan Engram: 5.1% probability

Kansas City Chiefs

• Travis Kelce: 13.3% probability
• Jerick McKinnon: 11.9% probability
• Isiah Pacheco: 10.0% probability
• Patrick Mahomes: 5.1% probability
• JuJu Smith-Schuster: 4.7% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Jacksonville Jaguars

• Travis Etienne: 45.2% probability
• Christian Kirk: 36.1% probability
• Zay Jones: 29.6% probability
• Trevor Lawrence: 29.5% probability
• Evan Engram: 26.7% probability

Kansas City Chiefs

• Travis Kelce: 58.2% probability
• Jerick McKinnon: 53.4% probability
• Isiah Pacheco: 46.4% probability
• Patrick Mahomes: 26.9% probability
• JuJu Smith-Schuster: 25.4% probability

Jaguars-Chiefs Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Jaguars' Trevor Lawrence is projected for 252 passing yards. The Chiefs' Patrick Mahomes is expected to throw for a whopping 310 yards.

Jaguars Starting QB

• Trevor Lawrence: 252 projected yards

Chiefs Starting QB

• Patrick Mahomes: 310 projected yards

Jaguars Rushing

• Travis Etienne: 74 projected yards
• Trevor Lawrence: 21 projected yards
• JaMycal Hasty: 9 projected yards

Chiefs Rushing

• Isiah Pacheco: 48 projected yards
• Patrick Mahomes: 24 projected yards
• Jerick McKinnon: 17 projected yards

Jaguars Receiving

• Christian Kirk: 60 projected yards
• Zay Jones: 47 projected yards
• Evan Engram: 46 projected yards
• Marvin Jones: 35 projected yards
• Travis Etienne: 22 projected yards

Chiefs Receiving

• Travis Kelce: 84 projected yards
• JuJu Smith-Schuster: 60 projected yards
• Marquez Valdes-Scantling: 32 projected yards
• Jerick McKinnon: 26 projected yards
• Kadarius Toney: 25 projected yards

Remember, DimersBOT updates regularly, so refresh this page for any changes to our betting insights before Jaguars vs. Chiefs on Saturday January 21, 2023.

Jaguars vs. Chiefs 2023

Saturday's matchup between the Chiefs and Jaguars at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium is scheduled to begin at 4:30PM ET.

• Who: Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Kansas City Chiefs
• Date: Saturday January 21, 2023
• Time: 4:30PM ET / 1:30PM PT
• Venue: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium

Ready to join an online sportsbook and start betting on the NFL today? Check out the best sportsbook offers in your state.

What NFL games are on today?

Now you've got the 411 on Jaguars vs. Chiefs, get the latest betting predictions for all upcoming NFL games in Dimers' NFL Bet Hub. There you can find probabilities and odds, plus our best bets for each and every NFL matchup.

Want a pick for the Spread? You got it. How about the Over/Under? Yup, got that too. The Moneyline? Yes sir. And these picks are good, I mean REALLY good. Take a look now!