Islanders vs. Lightning Prediction and Odds - Apr 1, 2023

NHL action continues on Saturday at 7:00PM ET as the NY Islanders take on the Tampa Bay Lightning at Amalie Arena.

Dimers' free betting picks for Islanders vs. Lightning, plus game predictions, betting odds and touchdown scorer probabilities, are detailed below.

Who will win Islanders vs. Lightning?

Based on advanced computer power and data, Dimers.com has simulated Saturday's Islanders-Lightning NHL matchup 10,000 times.

Dimers' leading predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, currently gives the Lightning a 57% chance of beating the Islanders.

More: Islanders vs. Lightning Simulated 10K Times

Islanders vs. Lightning Odds

• Puck Line: Lightning -1.5 (+175), Islanders +1.5 (-196)
• Moneyline: Lightning -150, Islanders +130
• Total: Over/Under 5.5 (-115/-104)

Puck Line, Moneyline and Over/Under

The Lightning are -1.5 favorites against the Islanders, with +175 at DraftKings Sportsbook the best odds currently available.

For the underdog Islanders (+1.5) to cover the puck line, FanDuel Sportsbook has the best odds currently on offer at -196.

DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Lightning at -150. That means you can risk $150 to win $100, for a total payout of $250, if they get the W.

On the other hand, BetMGM currently has the best moneyline odds for the Islanders at +130, where you can bet $100 to profit $130, earning a total payout of $230, if they win.

The Over/Under sits at 5.5 with BetMGM, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -115, while FanDuel Sportsbook currently has the best odds for the Under at -104.

As always, check out all the legal sportbooks that are available in your state for the best NHL odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the Islanders (+1.5) are a 65% chance of covering the puck line, while the 5.5-goal Over/Under is a 53% chance of going Over.

More: Free Prop Picks

Best Bets for Islanders vs. Lightning

• Puck Line: Lightning -1.5 @ +175 via DraftKings Sportsbook
• Moneyline: Islanders @ +130 via BetMGM
• Total: Over 5.5 @ -115 via BetMGM (53% probability)

Our best bets are based on detailed simulations and betting expertise to help you make better decisions with your state's legal sportsbooks.

Although the Islanders are more likely to cover the puck line, our best bet of Lightning -1.5 is based on the likelihood of that happening, according to DimersBOT, and the best odds available.

And while the Lightning are more likely to win the game, according to DimersBOT, betting on the Islanders moneyline is the best option because of the edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the sportsbooks' odds currently available.

Taking advantage of the edges published on Dimers is crucial to achieving long-term profitability.

Islanders vs. Lightning Prediction

Click or tap on See Matchup to reveal more.

Dimers has full coverage of Saturday's Islanders-Lightning matchup, including pregame predictions, top betting picks, and live scores.

Islanders vs. Lightning Player Props

Who will score the first goal in Islanders vs. Lightning? The data is in.

Featured below are the most likely first goal and most likely anytime goal scorers for both the Islanders and Lightning.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you select the best prop picks for Saturday's game.

According to DimersBOT, Tampa Bay's Nikita Kucherov is most likely to score the first goal in Islanders vs. Lightning.

DimersBOT gives Kucherov a 7.5% chance of scoring the first goal at Amalie Arena, while the Lightning star is a 34.0% chance of netting an anytime goal.

Scroll down for the full list of first and anytime goal scorer probabilities.

First Goal Scorer Probabilities

NY Islanders

• Anders Lee: 6.3% probability
• Brock Nelson: 5.1% probability
• Bo Horvat: 5.1% probability
• Kyle Palmieri: 4.3% probability
• Pierre Engvall: 3.7% probability

Tampa Bay Lightning

• Nikita Kucherov: 7.5% probability
• Brayden Point: 7.4% probability
• Steven Stamkos: 7.1% probability
• Brandon Hagel: 4.4% probability
• Alex Killorn: 4.1% probability

Anytime Goal Scorer Probabilities

NY Islanders

• Anders Lee: 29.9% probability
• Bo Horvat: 26.1% probability
• Brock Nelson: 25.9% probability
• Kyle Palmieri: 22.7% probability
• Pierre Engvall: 19.7% probability

Tampa Bay Lightning

• Brayden Point: 34.6% probability
• Steven Stamkos: 34.4% probability
• Nikita Kucherov: 34.0% probability
• Alex Killorn: 22.4% probability
• Brandon Hagel: 21.2% probability

Remember, DimersBOT updates often, so keep an eye on this page for the latest betting insights ahead of Islanders vs. Lightning on Saturday April 1, 2023.

Islanders vs. Lightning 2023 Game Info

Saturday's game between the Lightning and Islanders at Amalie Arena is scheduled to start at 7:00PM ET.

• Who: NY Islanders vs. Tampa Bay Lightning
• Date: Saturday April 1, 2023
• Time: 7:00PM ET / 4:00PM PT
• Venue: Amalie Arena

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Want more NHL predictions like this?

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We use the power of predictive analytics to find value in the markets so we can produce the best NHL betting previews available. We do this by comparing our own probabilities against the sportsbooks' odds (aka Vegas odds) the minute they go live.

So, get ahead of the game and beat the bookies today – it's only a click away.