Pacers vs. Thunder Prediction: Oklahoma City Predicted to Win Game 1 of NBA Finals [2025]

The Oklahoma City Thunder will take on the Indiana Pacers in Game 1 of the 2025 NBA Finals at Paycom Center on Thursday, starting at 8:30PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results and today’s injury reports, Dimers' advanced NBA model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Thunder as the most likely winner of Game 1.

"Using the latest data, our experts simulated Thursday's Indiana-Oklahoma City game 10,000 times," said Damien Souness from Dimers.

"Taking into account recent updates and various additional inputs, we forecast the Thunder with a win probability of 78% and the Pacers with 22%."

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Thunder lineup will feature players like Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams and Chet Holmgren, while the Pacers will be led by Pascal Siakam, Tyrese Haliburton and Myles Turner.

For expanded analysis of Thursday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Pacers vs. Thunder predictions page.

Thunder vs. Pacers Prediction: Who Will Win Game 1?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Thursday's NBA FInals matchup between the Pacers and Thunder 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Thunder a 78% chance of defeating the Pacers in Game 1 of the Finals. Our predicted final score in Game 1 of the 2025 NBA Finals has the Thunder winning 119-110.

According to our model, the Pacers (+10) have a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the 229.5-point over/under has a 51% chance of staying under.

Pacers vs. Thunder Game 1 Odds

We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Pacers	Thunder
Spread	+10 (-108)	-10 (-112)
Moneyline	+400	-470
Total	o229.5 (-112)	u229.5 (-108)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Boost your NBA betting by exploring the latest NBA betting promos, sourced from top sportsbooks and DFS operators.

Pacers vs. Thunder Picks and Best Bets for Game 1

Our model's strongest edge in today's Pacers vs. Thunder matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the current odds, reveal the best NBA picks and NBA best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Pacers vs. Thunder Game 1 Player Props

NBA player props are an enjoyable way to wager on the Pacers vs. Thunder matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Paycom Center.

Pascal Siakam is expected to lead the Pacers in scoring, while Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is projected to be the top scorer for the Thunder.

Dimers Pro users can access a full range of player props and projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every NBA game this season.

Pacers vs. Thunder Game 1 Updates and Essential Details

Thursday's Game 1 between the Thunder and Pacers in the NBA Finals is scheduled to start at 8:30PM ET.

• Who: Indiana Pacers vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
• Date: Thursday, June 5, 2025
• Time: 8:30PM ET/5:30PM PT
• Venue: Paycom Center
• NBA Playoffs Bracket: Updated NBA Playoffs bracket and schedule

The winner of the 2025 NBA Finals between the Pacers and Thunder gets the Larry O'Brien Trophy. Game 1 of the best-of-seven series is at Oklahoma City's Paycom Center. Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Thursday's Pacers vs. Thunder matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Indiana vs. Oklahoma City picks, be sure to check out the latest NBA predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Conclusion

We predict the Thunder, with a 78% win probability, will likely beat the Pacers in Game 1 of the 2025 Finals.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Pacers vs. Thunder insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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