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Pacers vs. Thunder Prediction: Oklahoma City Predicted to Win Game 5 of NBA Finals [2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Our expert prediction for Monday's Indiana Pacers vs Oklahoma City Thunder Game 5 matchup.
The Oklahoma City Thunder will face the Indiana Pacers in Game 5 of the 2025 NBA Finals at Paycom Center on Monday, starting at 8:30PM ET.
Based on updated simulations and today’s injury news, Dimers' advanced NBA model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Thunder as the most likely winner of Game 5.
"Our team has utilized the latest data to simulate Monday's Indiana-Oklahoma City game 10,000 times," said Damien Souness from Dimers.
"Incorporating recent updates and thousands of additional inputs, our prediction shows the Thunder are likely to win, with a probability of 76%, compared to the Pacers' 24%."
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Thunder lineup will feature players like Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams and Chet Holmgren, while the Pacers will look to Pascal Siakam, Tyrese Haliburton and Myles Turner.
For expanded analysis of Monday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Pacers vs. Thunder predictions page.
Thunder vs. Pacers Prediction: Who Will Win Game 5?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's NBA FInals game between the Pacers and Thunder 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Thunder a 76% chance of beating the Pacers in Game 5 of the 2025 Finals. Our predicted final score in Game 5 of the 2025 NBA Finals has the Thunder winning 115-107.
According to our model, the Pacers (+9) have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the 223-point over/under has a 51% chance of staying under.
Pacers vs. Thunder Game 5 Odds
We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Pacers | Thunder |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +9 (-110) | -9 (-108) |
| Moneyline | +290 | -335 |
| Total | o223 (-110) | u223 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Boost your NBA betting by exploring the latest NBA betting promos, sourced from top sportsbooks and DFS operators.
Pacers vs. Thunder Picks and Best Bets for Game 5
Our model's strongest edge in today's Pacers vs. Thunder matchup is on the total.
Our expert predictions, matched against the latest odds, reveal the best NBA picks and NBA best bets for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our full set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Pacers vs. Thunder Game 5 Player Props
NBA prop bets are a great way to wager on Monday's Indiana vs. Oklahoma City game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Paycom Center.
Pascal Siakam is expected to lead the Pacers in scoring, while Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is projected to be the top scorer for the Thunder.
Dimers Pro users can access a full range of player props and projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every NBA game this season.
Pacers vs. Thunder Game 5 Updates and Essential Details
Monday's Game 5 between the Thunder and Pacers in the NBA Finals is scheduled to begin at 8:30PM ET.
- Who: Indiana Pacers vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
- Date: Monday, June 16, 2025
- Time: 8:30PM ET/5:30PM PT
- Venue: Paycom Center
- NBA Playoffs Bracket: Updated NBA Playoffs bracket and schedule
The winner of the 2025 NBA Finals between the Pacers and Thunder gets the Larry O'Brien Trophy. Game 5 of the best-of-seven series is at Oklahoma City's Paycom Center. Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Monday's Pacers vs. Thunder matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Indiana vs. Oklahoma City picks, be sure to check out the latest NBA predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Conclusion
We predict the Thunder, with a 76% win probability, will likely beat the Pacers in Game 5 of the 2025 Finals.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Pacers vs. Thunder insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Keep up with the latest NBA betting news and NBA parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our NBA championship odds offer the most accurate predictions for the NBA title.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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