Fever vs. Mercury prediction: Why Phoenix is favored to win Tuesday's WNBA matchup [9/2/2025]

The Phoenix Mercury will take on the Indiana Fever in WNBA action at PHX Arena on Tuesday, commencing at 10:00PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced WNBA model predicts the Mercury as the most likely winner of today's game.

The Mercury, led by Kahleah Copper, Satou Sabally and Alyssa Thomas, are set to take on the Fever, featuring Kelsey Mitchell, Aliyah Boston and Odyssey Sims.

Fever superstar Cailtin Clark will miss the game though, with the pre-season MVP favorite set to be on the sidelines for this one.

For a closer look at Tuesday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Fever vs. Mercury predictions page.

Mercury vs. Fever prediction: Who will win, cover the spread?

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Tuesday's WNBA matchup between the Fever and Mercury 10,000 times as part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Mercury a 67% chance of beating the Fever.

According to our model, the Fever (+7.5) have a 60% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 166.5 points has a 55% chance of staying under.

Fever vs. Mercury odds

We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Fever	Mercury
Spread	+7.5 (-110)	-7.5 (-110)
Moneyline	+280	-325
Total	o166.5 (-110)	u166.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Make the most of your sports betting experience by exploring our comprehensive list of US betting apps, and the latest sportsbooks in 2025, ensuring you never miss a top new-user deal.

Fever vs. Mercury picks and best bets

Our model's strongest edge in today's Fever vs. Mercury matchup is on the over/under.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the latest odds, reveal the best WNBA picks and WNBA best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Fever vs. Mercury player props

WNBA player props are an exciting way to wager on the Indiana vs. Phoenix game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at PHX Arena.

Kelsey Mitchell is expected to lead the Fever in scoring, while Kahleah Copper is projected to be the top scorer for the Mercury.

Dimers Pro users can access a full range of player props and projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every WNBA game this season.

Fever vs. Mercury game-day updates and essential details

Tuesday's matchup between the Mercury and Fever at PHX Arena is scheduled to start at 10:00PM ET.

• Who: Indiana Fever vs. Phoenix Mercury
• Date: Tuesday, September 2, 2025
• Time: 10:00PM ET/7:00PM PT
• Venue: PHX Arena

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Tuesday's Fever vs. Mercury matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Fever vs. Mercury picks, be sure to check out the latest WNBA predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Conclusion

We predict the Mercury, with a 67% win probability, will likely beat the Fever on Tuesday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Fever vs. Mercury insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on WNBA

Stay up-to-date with the latest WNBA news and WNBA parlay picks throughout the season.