Fever vs. Mercury Prediction: Phoenix Predicted to Win Thursday's WNBA Matchup [8/7/2025]

The Phoenix Mercury will take on the Indiana Fever in WNBA action at PHX Arena on Thursday, commencing at 10:00PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced WNBA model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Mercury as the most likely winner of today's game.

The Mercury, with the likes of Satou Sabally, Kahleah Copper and Alyssa Thomas, are set to take on the Fever, who feature Kelsey Mitchell, Aliyah Boston and Natasha Howard.

Fever superstar Cailtin Clark will miss the game though, with the pre-season MVP favorite set to be on the sidelines for this one.

For expanded analysis of Thursday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Fever vs. Mercury predictions page.

Mercury vs. Fever Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Spread?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's WNBA matchup between the Fever and Mercury 10,000 times as part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Mercury a 63% chance of beating the Fever.

According to our model, the Fever (+4) have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 172.5 points has a 63% chance of staying under.

Fever vs. Mercury Odds

We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Fever	Mercury
Spread	+4 (-110)	-4 (-110)
Moneyline	+154	-184
Total	o172.5 (-112)	u172.5 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Fever vs. Mercury Picks and Best Bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Fever vs. Mercury matchup is on the spread.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the current odds, reveal the best WNBA picks and WNBA best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Fever vs. Mercury Player Props

Looking for Indiana vs. Phoenix WNBA prop bets? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at PHX Arena.

Kelsey Mitchell is expected to lead the Fever in scoring, while Satou Sabally is projected to be the top scorer for the Mercury.

Dimers Pro users can access a full range of player props and projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every WNBA game this season.

Fever vs. Mercury Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Thursday's game between the Mercury and Fever at PHX Arena is scheduled to begin at 10:00PM ET.

• Who: Indiana Fever vs. Phoenix Mercury
• Date: Thursday, August 7, 2025
• Time: 10:00PM ET/7:00PM PT
• Venue: PHX Arena

Dimers.com's full preview of Thursday's Fever vs. Mercury matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Fever vs. Mercury picks, be sure to check out the latest WNBA predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

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Conclusion

We predict the Mercury, with a 63% win probability, will likely beat the Fever on Thursday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Fever vs. Mercury insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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