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Fever vs. Aces prediction: Las Vegas favored to win Game 1 [2025 WNBA Playoffs]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Indiana Fever vs Las Vegas Aces predictions for WNBA Sunday.
The Las Vegas Aces will face the Indiana Fever in WNBA action at Michelob ULTRA Arena on Sunday, commencing at 3:00PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced WNBA model projects the Aces as the most likely winner of Game 1.
"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Fever-Aces game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.
"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Aces with a win probability of 73%, while the Fever have 27%."
The Aces, who have the likes of A'ja Wilson, Jackie Young and Chelsea Gray, will face off against the Fever, who feature Kelsey Mitchell, Aliyah Boston and Natasha Howard.
Fever superstar Cailtin Clark will miss the game though, with the USBWNT guard set to be on the sidelines for this one.
For a closer look at Sunday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Fever vs. Aces predictions page.
Aces vs. Fever prediction: Who will win Game 1?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's WNBA game between the Fever and Aces 10,000 times as part of our WNBA predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Aces a 73% chance of beating the Fever in Game 1 of the series.
According to our model, the Fever (+8.5) have a 58% chance of covering the spread, while the 165.5-point over/under has a 51% chance of staying under.
Fever vs. Aces Game 1 odds
We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Fever | Aces |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +8.5 (-105) | -8.5 (-114) |
| Moneyline | +333 | -425 |
| Total | o165.5 (-110) | u165.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
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Fever vs. Aces picks and best bets for Game 1
Our model's strongest edge in today's Fever vs. Aces matchup is on the total.
Our expert predictions, matched against the current odds, reveal the best WNBA picks and WNBA best bets for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our full suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Fever vs. Aces Game 1 player props
Betting on Fever vs. Aces WNBA player props? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Michelob ULTRA Arena.
Kelsey Mitchell is expected to lead the Fever with 20 points, 2 rebounds and 4 assists, while A'ja Wilson is projected to have 27 points, 10 rebounds and 4 assists for the Aces.
Dimers Pro users can access a full range of player props and projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every WNBA game this season.
Fever vs. Aces Game 1 updates and essential details
Sunday's Game 1 between the Aces and Fever at Michelob ULTRA Arena is scheduled to begin at 3:00PM ET.
- Who: Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Aces
- Date: Sunday, September 21, 2025
- Time: 3:00PM ET/12:00PM PT
- Venue: Michelob ULTRA Arena
Dimers' comprehensive preview of Sunday's Fever vs. Aces matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Fever vs. Aces picks, be sure to check out the latest WNBA predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
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Conclusion
We predict the Aces, with a 73% win probability, will likely beat the Fever on Sunday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Fever vs. Aces insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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