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Texans vs. Rams prediction: Rams favored to win in NFL Week 1, 2025

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Get Houston Texans vs Los Angeles Rams predictions for NFL Sunday.

Houston Texans-Los Angeles Rams Predictions and Game Preview.
Houston Texans vs. Los Angeles Rams NFL prediction for Sunday, September 7, 2025.

The Los Angeles Rams will square off with the Houston Texans in NFL Week 1 action at SoFi Stadium on Sunday, commencing at 4:25PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven NFL model predicts the Rams as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Texans-Rams game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Rams with a win probability of 59%, while the Texans have 41%."

This updated Texans vs. Rams betting preview builds on my Texans vs. Rams prediction that was released earlier in the week.

For a closer look at today’s game, including the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Texans vs. Rams predictions page.

Texans vs. Rams Predictions

Since our Texans-Rams predictions earlier in the week, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NFL game between the Texans and Rams 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Rams a 59% chance of beating the Texans in Week 1 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Rams winning 22-19.

According to our model, the Texans (+3.5) have a 65% chance of covering the spread, while the 43.5-point over/under has a 52% chance of staying under.

 

Texans vs. Rams odds

We have sourced the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Texans Rams
Spread +3.5 (-118) -3.5 (-102)
Moneyline +142 -165
Total o43.5 (-105) u43.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Texans vs. Rams picks and best bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Texans vs. Rams matchup is on the over/under.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the best odds, reveal the best NFL picks and NFL best bets for every game throughout the season, with today's best NFL bets populating now.

Unlimited access to our complete set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Texans vs. Rams TD scorers

Who will score the first touchdown in Texans vs. Rams?

According to our list of touchdown scorer predictions for Week 1, Los Angeles' Kyren Williams is most likely to score the first touchdown in Texans vs. Rams.

Our projections give Williams a 16.9% chance of getting in for six first at SoFi Stadium, while the Rams running back is a 56.6% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

First touchdown scorer predictions

Houston Texans

Player First TD Probability
Nico Collins (WR) 9.4%
Nick Chubb (RB) 9.3%
Dalton Schultz (TE) 4.4%

Los Angeles Rams

Player First TD Probability
Kyren Williams (RB) 16.9%
Davante Adams (WR) 8.9%
Puka Nacua (WR) 8.2%

Anytime touchdown scorer predictions

Houston Texans

Player Anytime TD Probability
Nico Collins (WR) 36.7%
Nick Chubb (RB) 36.6%
Dalton Schultz (TE) 19.5%

Los Angeles Rams

Player Anytime TD Probability
Kyren Williams (RB) 56.6%
Davante Adams (WR) 35.5%
Puka Nacua (WR) 33.3%

For a complete analysis of the most likely first and anytime TD scorers this week, see our NFL Week 1 touchdown scorer predictions

Texans vs Rams player props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Texans and Rams. For more, check out today's highest-probability NFL prop bets.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Texans-Rams page now to access every player prop projection.

Texans vs. Rams quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Texans' C.J. Stroud is projected to throw for fewer yards than the Rams' Matthew Stafford.

Texans rushing

Nick Chubb, Dameon Pierce and Woody Marks are projected to be the leading rushers for the Texans.

Player Position
Nick Chubb RB
Dameon Pierce RB
Woody Marks RB

Rams rushing

Kyren Williams, Blake Corum and Matthew Stafford are expected to lead the Rams in rushing yards.

Player Position
Kyren Williams RB
Blake Corum RB
Matthew Stafford QB

Texans receiving

Nico Collins, Jayden Higgins, Dalton Schultz, Xavier Hutchinson and Jaylin Noel are projected to top the receiving yards for the Texans.

Player Position
Nico Collins WR
Jayden Higgins WR
Dalton Schultz TE
Xavier Hutchinson WR
Jaylin Noel WR

Rams receiving

Puka Nacua, Davante Adams, Tutu Atwell, Tyler Higbee and Jordan Whittington are projected to lead the Rams in receiving yards.

Player Position
Puka Nacua WR
Davante Adams WR
Tutu Atwell WR
Tyler Higbee TE
Jordan Whittington WR

Texans vs. Rams game-day updates and essential details

The NFL Week 1 action between the Rams and Texans at SoFi Stadium is scheduled to begin at 4:25PM ET.

Dimers.com's full preview of this week's Texans vs. Rams matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Texans vs. Rams picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

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Conclusion

We predict the Rams, with a 59% win probability, will likely beat the Texans in Week 1 of the NFL season.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Texans vs. Rams insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on NFL

Keep up with the latest NFL news and NFL parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Super Bowl odds provide the latest projections for the Super Bowl, AFC, NFC and each division.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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